ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/64-Finals
Gaston – Jarry: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Hugo Gaston has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Aix de Provence, Gaston retired mid-match against Gojo in the opening round. This will be his second appearance in Rome. Last season in his debut campaign, Gaston failed to qualify for the main draw tournament.
Nicolas Jarry has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Estoril, Jarry reached the quarterfinals, losing against Pellegrino in three tight sets. Surprisingly, Jarry reached the final last season in Rome, losing against Zverev in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Jarry is the slight favorite in this matchup and we agree. He enjoys playing in Rome. On the other hand, Gaston never succeeded in Rome and is in bad form. We expect the Chilean to be a better player and win.
That being said, Jarry winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Nicolas Jarry winning @1.53 @bet365
Griekspoor – Kecmanovic: Time TBA
H2H: 3-1
Tallon Griekspoor has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Griekspoor lost against Draper in the second round in straight sets. Last season in Rome, the Dutch lost against Passaro in the second round. He has never made it past the second round here.
Miomir Kecmanovic has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Estoril, Kecmanovic reached the semifinals at the Challenger tournament, losing against Michelsen in straight sets. Last season in Rome, Kecmanovic lost against Monteiro in the third round, which is also his biggest result in Rome.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Griekspoor is the slight favorite in this matchup and we agree. He is a better clay-court player than Kecmanovic and leads 3-1 in head-to-head meetings. We expect him to be a better player and win.
That being said, Griekspoor winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tallon Griekspoor winning @1.62 @bet365
Hijikata – Moutet: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Rinky Hijikata has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Hijikata lost in the opening round against Opelka in straight sets. Last season was his debut campaign in Rome. He lost in the opening round against Munar in straight sets.
Corentin Moutet has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Aix en Provence, Moutet lost in the second round against Opelka in straight sets. This will be his fifth appearance in Rome. Last season, Moutet lost against Djokovic in the second round in straight sets. He has never made it past the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Hijikata is the underdog in this matchup and we agree. Being Australian, Hijikata rarely played and never succeeded on clay. On the other hand, Moutet is a solid clay-court player and we expect him to be a better player in this match from the start until the end.
That being said, Moutet winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Corentin Moutet winning 2-0 @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
