ATP Australian Open 1/8-Finals
Sonego – Tien: 20.01.2025 04:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Lorenzo Sonego has won four of his last five matches. In the Australian Open, Lorenzo defeated Wawrinka in four tight sets, as we predicted. It was a high-quality match, with both players playing aggressively. In the second round, Lorenzo upset Fonseca in five tight sets. Yesterday, in the third round, Sonego defeated Marozsan in four sets. After losing the first set 6-7, Sonego trailed in the second set tiebreak 3-6 but turned it around. Last year in Melbourne, Sonego reached the second round of the Australian Open, losing against Alcaraz in four tight sets.
Learner Tien has won six straight matches. The young American is one of the biggest sensations in Melbourne. He successfully qualified for the main draw tournament. Tien defeated Ugo Carabelli in five tight sets in the opening main draw round. After that, in the second round, Learner upset Medvedev in five sets, spending almost five hours on the court. In the deciding set, Medvedev was 6-5 up and served for the match, but Tien was calm and successfully earned himself the biggest win of his young career. In the third round, Learner defeated Moutet in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sonego is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. We believe that Lorenzo’s experience will prevail in this match. Tien was on the verge of losing in his first two opening matches. We believe that Lorenzo will be a better player tomorrow.
That being said, Sonego winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Sonego winning @1.67 @bet365
Sinner – Rune: 20.01.2025 04:00 CEST
H2H: 2-2
Jannik Sinner has won 20 straight matches. Sinner defeated Jarry in straight sets in the Australian Open, as we predicted. His last loss was in October in Beijing, losing against Alcaraz in the final. Yesterday, in the second round, Sinner defeated Schoolkate in four sets. Surprisingly, he lost the first set 4-6. However, he reduced his unforced errors and successfully turned the match around. Yesterday, in the third round, Sinner dominated against Giron in straight sets, as we predicted. Jannik is the defending champion in the Australian Open. Last year, Sinner defeated Medvedev in five sets after being 0-2 down.
Holger Rune has won three of his last five matches. In the opening Australian Open round, Rune defeated Zhang in five tight sets. After that, in the second round, Holger defeated Berrettini in four tight sets. Yesterday, in the third round, Rune lost the opening set against Kecmanovic 6-7. However, despite having cramps, Holger turned the match around and won in five tight sets. Last year in Melbourne, Rune was upset by Cazaux in the second round, losing in four sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the big favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Jannik spent less time on the court than Rune. On the other hand, Holger has already played two five-setters and had cramps yesterday against Kecmanovic. We expect Sinner to prolong his winning streak and win easily.
That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -6.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
