The ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo quarterfinals feature high-level clashes as players battle for a place in the semifinals. With top seeds in strong form and rising talents making deep runs, these matchups present excellent betting opportunities based on momentum, confidence, and clay-court performance.
ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo quarterfinals
Fonseca – Zverev: 10.04.2026 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Joao Fonseca has won four of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, the Brazilian defeated Diallo in the opening match in straight sets. He trailed 1-3 in the second set, but turned it around. In the second round, Fonseca outlasted Rinderknech in three tight sets. He was great under pressure, saving ten out of twelve breakpoints. In the 1/8-Finals, the Brazilian demolished Berrettini in straight sets easily.
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Zverev defeated Garin in three tight sets. He trailed 0-4 and 3-5 in the deciding set, but turned it around. In the 1/8-Finals, the German defeated Bergs in straight sets. Besides losing his serve twice, Zverev dominated throughout the match. Last season in Monte Carlo, Zverev lost to Berrettini in the second round in three sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fonseca is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated against Berrettini and is one of the best upcoming players. We expect him to keep this match close, especially under these conditions.
That being said, Fonseca covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Joao Fonseca +1.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Auger-Aliassime – Sinner: 10.04.2026 12:30 CEST
H2H: 3-4
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won five straight matches. This week in Monte Carlo, the Canadian defeated Cilic in the opening round in straight sets. He trailed 1-3 in the opening set, but turned it around. Ruud retired mid-match in the second round against Auger-Aliassime. This is his first clay-court tournament this season. Last season, Auger-Aliassime lost to Altmaier in the opening round in straight sets.
Jannik Sinner has won fourteen straight matches. He has won consecutive Masters 1000 titles in Indian Wells and Miami. This week in Monte Carlo, Sinner demolished Humbert in the opening match in straight sets. He served well, not offering any breakpoints. In the 1/8-Finals, Sinner defeated Machac in three sets. The Italian reached the semifinals here in 2023 and 2024, which were also his best results here. Around this time last season, Sinner was suspended for doping.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Besides losing the second set in a tiebreak against Machac, Sinner dominated in both matches this week. He is coming into this match after winning consecutive Masters 1000 titles. On the other hand, Auger Aliassime always struggled in Monte Carlo.
That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -5.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
