The ATP Masters 1000 Madrid Round of 16 continues with a mix of strong favourites and form-driven matchups. Casper Ruud looks dominant as the defending champion and should have the edge over Stefanos Tsitsipas, while Rafael Jodar brings consistency and momentum into his clash with Vit Kopriva. Meanwhile, Francisco Cerundolo appears fresher and more stable heading into his matchup against the in-form but battle-tested Alexander Blockx.
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid 1/8-Finals
Tsitsipas – Ruud: 28.04.2026 14:00 CEST
H2H: 4-3
Stefanos Tsitsipas has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, the Greek defeated Kypson in three tight sets after playing for almost three hours. In the second round, Tsitsipas defeated Bublik in straight sets. Today, in the third round, Tsitsipas defeated Merida Aguilar in straight sets.
Casper Ruud has won four of his last five matches. He is the defending champion in Madrid. This week, Ruud demolished Munar in the opening match in straight sets, losing only one game. In the third round, the Norwegian demolished Davidovich Fokina in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Ruud is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He demolished both Munar and Davidovich Fokina en route to the 1/8-Finals. He is the defending champion here, and we expect him to win.
That being said, Ruud covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Casper Ruud -3.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Kopriva – Jodar: 28.04.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Vit Kopriva has won four of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, Kopriva upset Rublev in the second round. In the third round, Rinderknech retired against Kopriva mid-match after winning the second set.
Rafael Jodar has won four of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, Jodar upset de Minaur in the second round. In the third round, the Spaniard outlasted Fonseca in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Jodar is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and one of the most consistent clay-court players at the moment. We expect him to dominate and get a comfortable win.
That being said, Jodar covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Rafael Jodar -4.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Cerundolo – Blockx: 28.04.2026 19:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, the Argentine defeated Hanfmann in the opening match in straight sets. In the third round, Cerundolo defeated Darderi in straight sets as well.
Alexander Blockx has won four of his last five matches. In the opening round, the Belgian defeated Garin in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 4-6. In the second round, Blockx turned the match around against Nakashima, winning in three sets. Today, in the third round, the Belgian upset Auger-Aliassime in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in both matches this week. On the other hand, Blockx had several tough matches this week. We expect Cerundolo to be fresher and win.
That being said, Cerundolo covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Jonathan Hui-Imagn Images
