ATP 500 Hamburg 1/8-Finals
Darderi – Nakashima: 21.05.2025 15:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Luciano Darderi has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Turin, Darderi lost in the opening round of the Challenger tournament against Passaro in straight sets. This is his second appearance in Hamburg. In the opening round, Darderi defeated Dedura in straight sets. Last season, Darderi reached the quarterfinals, eventually losing against Baez in three tight sets.
Brandon Nakashima has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Bordeaux, Basilashvili upset Nakashima in the quarterfinals of the Challenger tournament. This week in Hamburg, Collignon retired mid-match against Nakashima in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Darderi is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. The young Italian is a clay-court specialist, and he will prove that. On the other hand, Nakashima never succeeded on clay courts.
That being said, Darderi winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Luciano Darderi winning @1.62 @bet365
Lehecka – Cerundolo: 21.05.2025 12:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Jiri Lehecka has lost three of his last five matches. He struggled with his form since the beginning of the clay court season. This week in Hamburg, Lehecka defeated Gojo in three tight sets after spending two hours on the court.
Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Cerundolo lost against Sinner in the 1/8-Finals in tight straight sets. He has been one of the most consistent players on clay this season. This week in Hamburg, Cerundolo easily defeated Martinez in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is the fourth seed in Hamburg and the biggest favourite of the lower part of the draw to reach the final. On the other hand, Lehecka struggled on clay this season. We expect the Argentine to dominate tomorrow.
That being said, Cerundolo winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo winning 2-0 @2.00 @bet365
Zverev – Muller: 21.05.2025 16:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Alexander Zverev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Zverev lost against Musetti in the quarterfinals in straight sets. He was the champion in Hamburg in 2023. This week, Zverev defeated Kovacevic in straight sets in the opening round. Last season, Zverev finished as a runner-up, losing in three tight sets against Fils in the final.
Alexandre Muller has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Rome, Muller lost against Tsitsipas in straight sets in the second round. Yesterday, the Frenchman defeated Ymer in straight sets in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the big favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Muller improved drastically this season and always puts up a big fight. We expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Muller covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexandre Muller +4.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
