The New Orleans Saints (2-2) face the Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) on Monday Night Football. Derek Carr wants to push his side over .500. Meanwhile, Pattrick Mahomes wants to stay undefeated. Unlike prior years, this should be a good offensive vs. defensive matchup. The visitors have big play potential on any play. Conversely, the hosts seem to still be figuring things out on that side of the ball so far this season.
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Saints vs Chiefs Odds with BetMGM
- Moneyline: Saints (+200) vs Chiefs (-250)
- Spread: Saints +5.5 (-110) vs Chiefs -5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 43 (-110) / Under 43 (-110)
Saints vs Chiefs Prediction
Score Prediction: Saints 28: Chiefs: 23
New Orleans has been something of a pleasant surprise this year. They have the highest-scoring offense in the NFL. They are averaging 31.8 points per game. However, contrary to what one might think, they’re rushing attack leads the way. They have the seventh-most rushing average at 147.5 yards on the ground per contest. This opens up deep shots off of play action. This leaves Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed in a lot of favorable situations. They’ve had two games on the road, one against Dallas and the other against Atlanta. This offense faces its toughest test against what is a good overall defense, run by Steve Spagnuolo.
Meanwhile, Kansas City allows the 13th fewest total yards per game at 326.0. Furthermore, they do well in preventing others from scoring, as they allow an impressive 18.0 points per game, which is good for being the eighth-best defense in the NFL in this category. On the other side of the ball, Mahomes is still amazing. But their personnel have been hit with injuries. The home team will be without Rashee Rice, Mecole Hardman, Isiah Pacheco, and Hollywood Brown. Rookie Xavier Worthy will continue to see a large role, and Travis Kelce needs to have a strong performance, especially if this one ends up in an offensive shootout.
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Saints Moneyline (+200)
Gone are the days in which KC runs away from opponents. New Orleans will at the very least be within striking distance late. They’ve already shown the ability to travel with their good offensive line play and rushing attack. As long as Carr has that to lean on, he should see plenty of opportunities throughout the game to take advantage of matchups that he likes. The away side has more of an identity with the ball and will be able to pull off the upset.
Over 43 (-110)
The point total is too low for this one. Kansas City struggles, but they still have Worthy, who is good for a relatively easy six points at any time. Furthermore, if New Orleans is able to stick with their game plan, they should be able to wear out and overwhelm the opposing defensive unit. It’s hard seeing them match their season average on offense, but they won’t be too far off. Consequently, Mahomes will only need to lead his team to a little over 20 points, and the over will comfortably hit tonight.
Saints +5.5 (-110)
As stated, KC doesn’t separate from opponents, and if they are going to win, it will be close in the fourth and off a last-minute drive. Take the points. Even if New Orleans winning is too bold of a step, this season shows that being nearly a touchdown favorite is too much to consider. Furthermore, Dennis Allen’s group is only allowing 17.5 PPG. While not the strength of this team, that side of the ball for them is underrated.
Saints vs Chiefs Prop Bets with BetMGM
Alvin Kamara: Over 75 Rushing Yards (+105)
The running back has eclipsed this total in all four of his games this season. In fact, the former Tennessee RB has rushed for 80+ yards in three out of four matchups this year. New Orleans emphasizes establishing the run. Furthermore, if Kansas City attempts to slow it down at first, expect coach Allen to return and continue to strive for balance in their approach.
Xavier Worthy: Anytime TD Scorer (+150)
The wide receiver is the first option for Mahomes. The aforementioned injuries and speed will make him a frequent target within this Andy Reid system. Furthermore, at 17.1 yards per catch, each reception has a chance of being a score. This is a team that seems to figure it out as the game goes on. Even if Kansas City is trailing late, look for Worthy to take advantage of a miscommunication or tired legs of the secondary late. He already has two TDs on the year, and he’ll increase that to three.
