The New England Patriots (1-1) take on their New York Jets (1-1) divisional opponent for some Thursday Night Football action at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Jacoby Brissett needs to show more offensive explosion for the visitors, but he’s avoiding many big mistakes. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers continues to offer something of a needed calming presence on the field in his way. Many expect this to be a defensive battle of attrition.
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Patriots vs Jets Odds with BetMGM
- Moneyline: Patriots (+220) vs Jets (-275)
- Spread: Falcons +6.5 (-120) vs Jets -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 38.5 (-110) / Under 38.5 (-110)
Patriots vs Jets Prediction
Score Prediction: Jets 17, Patriots 13
New England has two great defenders to turn to on defense. Christian Gonzalez and Keion White are more than capable of holding their own. This unit has allowed the fifth-fewest points per game at 16.5 in large part due to them. Moreover, 58.0 rushing yards against is good for the second-best NFL average so far. Furthermore, the other side of the ball mirrors the defensive strengths and weaknesses. The away team will look to run to shorten the game. But hitting open receivers downfield has been a struggle so far.
Conversely, New York possesses a passing attack with a lot of potential. However, fans have not seen it clicking on all cylinders yet. They have the 11th fewest yards through the air so far at 181.0 YPG. But this is a result of Rodgers not forcing anything and either finding the checkdown or throwing the ball away. Garrett Wilson has been targeted 11 and six times, respectively, through Week 2, for a total of 10 catches and 117 yards. He has yet to score a touchdown.
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Jets Moneyline (-275)
It would take an uncharacteristic offensive outing for the away team to steal one on the road tonight. In a potential first race to 14 points, only the home team is certain to hit that scoring mark. As long as Rodgers continues to help his team avoid turnovers, the defense will be set up to do what they need to do to ensure a win.
Under 38.5 (-110)
That being said, neither offense has been great so far. Furthermore, their last three matchups saw a high combined score of 25 points. In general, the NFL schemes are having a hard time putting up points. Factor in the two stout defenses, and it’s hard to see the under being threatened. Moving the chains and getting past the opponent’s 40 may prove to be a difficult first hurdle to overcome for both sides.
Patriots +6.5 (-120)
However, there is a reason this New York team is not a double-digit favorite. New England has not turned the ball over so far, and special teams play has been largely clean. Additionally, as mentioned, Rodgers ensures that his side doesn’t beat itself. Instead, he aims to methodically wait before taking a shot down field. This is a classic strength-on-strength game and should be close, even if the home team ends up getting a relatively comfortable win.
Patriots vs Jets Prop Bets with BetMGM
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 75 Rushing Yards (+125)
The whole stadium knows New England wants to establish the run. Consequently, the hosts will sell out to try to force the passing game out of their opponents tonight. However, this has been true in every game so far. Despite everyone knowing the upcoming game plans, the running back has still seen 20+ carries in each fixture for 120 and 81 yards on the ground, respectively.
Garrett Wilson Under 66.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Rodgers is a quarterback who doesn’t get bored with taking a profit. Sure, if Wilson is open, he’ll get his receiver the ball. However, he’s not going to risk giving New England a short field just for the sake of force-feeding the ball to the outside. Additionally, the former Ohio State WR has only totaled 57 and 60 receiving yards in each of the first two games. The battle between he and Gonzalez will be a focal point, but even if he wins a couple of one-on-ones, it will be a surprise if he approaches 100 yards during Thursday’s game.
