Picking DraftKings DFS bargains is tricky when there’s not much mystery about the 49ers’ offense, but as long as Trent Williams is there it’s very difficult to stop. Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle are all well-rested after a bye week, too. And that means the DraftKings bargains are going to be mainly coming from Green Bay.
One of the things that makes the Packers offense difficult to defend is how they can use all the components at different times and in different ways. Aaron Jones will be the focal point, but nine other players have caught touchdown passes for the Packers this season. And while the 49ers defense has been very good this season, they have conceded 20 touchdown passes. If the Packers can turn this into a shootout it might get a little crazy.
DraftKings DFS Bargains for The Divisional Round Packers At 49ers
The Not A Bargain, But Also A Bit Of A Bargain Pick – Jayden Reed
He’s not technically a bargain at $6,800 this week, but he cost $9,200 in Week 15 so he’s comparatively cheap. Reed had a really quiet game in Dallas considering the Packers put up 272 passing yards. He didn’t catch any of his three targets. But during the regular season, he was averaging 12.2 yards per touch. He also led the Packers with eight touchdown receptions. If the Packers are to have any chance in this game, they will have to make the most of the 49ers’ weakness, however small it is.
Reed should line up opposite Deommodore Lenoir this week. Lenoir is allowing 63.2% of passes to be completed. And he allows 11.5 yards per reception. Lenoir allowed a total of 272 yards after the catch during the regular season. Reed’s speed could make that a favorable matchup for the Packers.
The Physical Presence Pick DraftKings DFS Pick – Jauan Jennings
Cos there has to be one 49er on this list, right? And if Aiyuk or Samuel get a knock someone else will have a chance to catch passes. Jennings has been very effective when he’s been involved in the 49ers’ offense. He averages 13.9 yards per touch this season. And he caught a touchdown. But he’s only caught 19 passes this season.
If the 49ers decide to open up the offense a bit, then Jennings could well end up lining up opposite Kesean Nixon. And that’s good news for Jennings, not least because he’s five inches taller than Nixon! Nixon has allowed 77.8% of passes to be completed this season. Those completions are only going for 9.5 yards on average though. Nixon has missed 10 tackles this season, so this could be a good red zone matchup for Brock Purdy. And he only costs $3,000 in this week’s DraftKings DFS Captains Showdown which is a bargain for someone who could score a touchdown.
The Seriously Undervalued DraftKings DFS Pick – Malik Heath
Nothing about Heath’s recent form says this is a good pick, but you’re allowed a “vibes” pick now and again, right? Plus, he’ll only cost you $200 in this DraftKings DFS Captains Showdown slate. Heath was inactive for the demolition of the Cowboys, but if Matt LaFleur is the offensive genius everyone in the know claims he is he’ll mix it up this week. And Heath’s run blocking could come in handy against a defense that likes to line up with an extra defensive back.
If he does get on the field in Santa Clara, he could be up against Darrell Luter Jr. (although the 49ers could have as many as 3 DBs injured this week so there could be some rotation). Luter Jr. Has only been involved in 7 games for the 49ers this season. And he’s only been targeted 5 times, but he is allowing 10 yards per reception.
The First Rookie Tight End Pick – Luke Musgrave
Musgrave is probably the Packers’ second tight end now after Tucker Kraft’s strong play, but he’s still averaging 10.4 yards per touch this season. Steve Wilks’ penchant for lining up with an extra DB could be an issue if LaFleur decides to set up with both tight ends on the field. The 49ers have allowed 9.4 yards per reception when tight ends have caught the ball this season. Musgrave costs $3,600 on this week’s DraftKings DFS Captains Showdown.
The Lowkey Red Zone Target DraftKings DFS Pick – Tucker Kraft
Musgrave’s had a decent rookie season, but his injury issues have allowed Kraft to shine. He’s averaging 11.5 yards per touch, and he’s hauled in two touchdowns. With two tight ends who can catch passes, Christian Watson returning to fitness, and Aaron Jones, Jordan Love should have at least one open receiver. Somehow Kraft is cheaper than Musgrave this week, he’ll only cost you $2,600. That’s dirt cheap for a pass catcher who is the fifth most popular red zone target.
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