If Aaron Rodgers was healthy this would be a very interesting matchup. But he isn’t and it’s not. It’s going to be a game even a mother couldn’t love. The Jets’ pass defense has been pretty ugly in 2023, even Sauce Gardner is allowing his opponents to complete 83.3% of their passes. According to DraftKings DFS statistics, the Jets defense is ranked 30th against tight ends. The Chiefs are going to have to be seriously off their game for the Jets to make this a game.
Week 4 Sunday Night DraftKings DFS picks
The Out Of Leftfield DraftKings DFS Choice – Chiefs Defense/ Special Teams
Okay, no Nick Bolton is an issue, especially if the Jets stick to the run game instead of hoping Zach Wilson will instantly become Aaron Rodgers (spoiler alert, he won’t). But Drue Tranquill is a very talented linebacker on both the inside and outside. Chris Jones is back after his one-week holdout, so he’ll be up to full speed this week. Jaylen Watson should be healthy after a shoulder complaint and George Karlaftis III will love the Jets pass blocking.
DraftKings value the Chiefs D/ST at $4,200 this week. Only the 49ers defense is more expensive than Steve Spagnolo’s unit, but he’s guaranteed to have them scoring big points. Indeed, Breece Hall is always a homerun threat, but with the Jets’ substandard pass blocking the Chiefs should be able to create a lot of turnovers this week.
The DraftKings DFS Contrarian Choice – Jerrick McKinnon
Ok, I admit it, I’m slightly obsessed with McKinnon. But anyone who watched him in the playoffs last season should be. He’s behind Pacheco on the depth chart who will do most of the running into the heart of the Jets defense. McKinnon has only had 10 touches of the ball in 2023, but if Quinnen Williams can get to Patrick Mahomes the screen game and quick passes to a back in the flat will be very effective.
McKinnon already has two receiving touchdowns this season. He’s averaging 2.3 yards per rushing attempt this season, but he averages 7.3 yards every time they pass to him. At $4,800 on DraftKings, he’s a bargain.
The Mahomes’ New Favorite DraftKings DFS Choice – Rashee Rice
Rookie Rice has been one of Patrick Mahomes favorite targets in 2023 but despite that, he’s still surprisingly cheap. Only Kelce has seen more looks from Patrick Mahomes this season. Rice has dropped three passes already this season but the seven first downs he’s picked up leads Chiefs receivers’, so Mahomes still trusts him in important situations. Not many receivers who cost $3,600 have seen more targets than the rest of their receiving corps.
The Longshot Who Could Go Off Choice – Justin Watson
He’s a boom-or-bust kind of receiver, if you’re feeling lucky, he’s just the man for you. His blazing speed makes him a deep threat whenever he’s on the field but he’s never the most efficient receiver on the field. But five receivers cost more than him and none have his upside. Watson is just $3,500 on DraftKings this week.
The average “depth of target” for passes to Watson in 2023 is 22.7 yards. So, he only needs to haul in four catches to have an impact. He’s averaging four targets per game too. He caught 59% of his 2023 targets through.
The Real Longshot Who Is Virtually Free Choice – Blake Bell
Now, a lot needs to happen to make this successful, but just hear me out. Travis Kelce is still coming back from a bone bruise, which is a lot more painful than he’s making it look. His main backup Noah Gray did not practice on Wednesday because, the team says, he was suffering from an illness. That makes him questionable for the game.
When Bell was given a chance in Week 1, he caught two of his three targets. And even though he ended the game with 12 receiving yards he caught a touchdown. Bell might be a handy flex if you trust Kelce at TE. And he’s cheap too, at just $2,500 on DraftKings he’s $700 cheaper than Tyler Conklin.
Main Photo: [Mike Danna] – USA Today Sports
