Just like that, we already have three weeks of NFL football in the books. One of my favorite parts is fantasy football. One of my favorite aspects of fantasy football has become playing on DraftKings. Every week is like a new puzzle to figure out. Whether you are more of a cash game player or a tournament player, each presents a unique challenge. Let’s take a look at my favorite Week 4 DraftKings plays.
READ MORE: Week 4 Stream Team | Week 4 Starts and Sits
Week 4 DraftKings Plays
Week 3 Recap
It’s always good to be completely transparent and demonstrate accountability. That’s what I like to do with everything I do, and that also goes for fantasy football. Whether it’s bold takes or DraftKings recommendations, I always like to keep track of wins and losses. It’s not only good for the readers to know, but it also helps me learn from mistakes moving forward.
🚨NEW ARTICLE🚨
If you have guys like Swift, Monty, or Mooney or if you're in a deep league, you may need a quick fix this week
3 under-rostered players at each position ⤵️ to help DOMINATE your leagues this week 😤#FantasyFootball@MyFantasyLeague
https://t.co/L1BvKVgQK1— ✴️Rob Norton✴️ (@norton0723) September 28, 2022
Looking back at Week 3, it was another below-average week. This week 44% of my recommendations hit the 2.5x value we look for in cash game lineups. This time the quarterback group led the way tied at a 100% success rate. Meanwhile, the tight end group brought up the rear tied at a 20% success rate. Personally, it was a profitable week. We’ll look to get in going even better with the picks and get even more profits in the Week 4 DraftKings plays.
- Week 3 – $217 → $378 ($161 PROFIT)
- Year Total – $680 → $818 ($138 PROFIT)
Quarterbacks
Jalen Hurts (PHI) – $8,200 v JAX
If last season wasn’t enough proof of Jalen Hurts as a fantasy quarterback, he’s taken it to another level this season. Through three weeks, Hurts has more rushing attempts and rushing touchdowns than any quarterback. He trails only Lamar Jackson in rushing yards and trails only Jackson and Josh Allen in fantasy points. Hurts has scored at least 24.72 fantasy points in all three games and carried the ball at least nine times in all three games as well. He’s continued to progress as a passer too. It turns out adding a stud weapon like A.J. Brown does, in fact, help a bit. This week’s matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars looks like another great spot. Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles currently sit as 7.5-point favorites with a 26-point implied team total. The Jaguars offense is much more competent this year which should help and allow Hurts to keep his foot on the gas all the way through in this one.
Geno Smith (SEA) – $5,400 @ DET
If you had told me I’d be highly recommending Geno Smith in Week 4, I’d have told you that you were crazy. But here we are, in Week 4, and Smith looks like arguably the best point-per-dollar play there is at quarterback. In the first two weeks, the Seattle Seahawks played extremely slow. Smith did not have great fantasy days but he completed more than 80% of his passes in both games. In Week 3 when they sped the pace up, Smith was able to put up 22.9 fantasy points. He still completed 72% of his passes on 44 attempts but this time had 325 yards and two touchdowns. This week’s matchup against the Detroit Lions is a juicy one. The Lions have a good offense but have allowed the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks so far. This game is also going to be played in a dome and has one of the highest combined totals at 48 this week. Smith looks like an incredible value play this week.
Highest comp pct this season
Geno Smith 77.5%
Matthew Stafford 72.5%
Aaron Rodgers 72.3% pic.twitter.com/iD08Ipqzyj— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) September 26, 2022
Others to Consider: Derek Carr (LV) – $5,800 v DEN, Marcus Mariota (ATL) – $5,600 v CLE, Daniel Jones (NYG) – $5,400 v CHI
Running Backs
Jamaal Williams (DET) – $6,100 v SEA
It seems like there are a few weeks every season in which we can say it’s a “Jamaal Williams” week. This week looks like one of those weeks. D’Andre Swift has been officially ruled out in this one. That is going to thrust Williams into a workhorse role. He was already RB8 on the season and that was in a part-time role. The Lions’ offensive line has been biting all the knee caps that coach Dan Campbell had hoped for before the season and has been one of the best units in the league. As previously mentioned, this game environment is one of the best on the slate. The Seahawks have also been gashed by the run as they’ve allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game to running backs so far. In addition to Swift likely being out, star wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown has already been ruled out. The Lions seem very likely to establish the run and lean heavily on Williams in this one. The game environment combined with the extra workload combined with the salary makes Williams easily one of the best Week 4 Draftkings plays.
Khalil Herbert (CHI) – $5,700 @ NYG
Speaking of extra workloads, Khalil Herbert should be in store for another workhorse role this weekend as well with David Montgomery ruled out. Last week we saw how well he can do in that role as he shredded the Houston Texans for 169 total yards and two touchdowns. Herbert scored 33.9 fantasy points last week. That level of production shouldn’t be expected but it’s not out of the question either this week against the New York Giants. The Giants have allowed the eleventh-most fantasy points to running backs through three weeks this year. This game currently has a low combined total of 39.5 points and the Chicago Bears only have an implied team total of 18.25 points but they are also the most run-heavy team in the NFL. Herbert is a capable pass-catcher as well and should be looking at another 20+ touches here. That makes him way too cheap and like Williams, one of the best Week 4 Draftkings plays.
David Montgomery is OUT…
As a starter Khalil Herbert averages:
• 22.5 opportunities
• 14 fantasy pointsTranslation: He's a Top-10 RB this week.
— SAL VETRI (@SalVetriDFS) September 30, 2022
Others to Consider: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) – $8,700 v ARI, Najee Harris (PIT) – $6,700 v NYJ, Josh Jacobs (LV) – $5,500 v DEN, Saquon Barkley (NYG) – $8,000 v CHI, Dameon Pierce (HOU) – $5,600 v LAC
Wide Receivers
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) – $7,200 v TEN
Michael Pittman Jr. picked right up where he left off last week after missing Week 2 with a minor injury. So far in two games, Pittman Jr. has racked up 17 catches for 193 yards and a score on 22 targets. He’s the clear-cut alpha wide receiver for the Indianapolis Colts. That volume should continue this week against the bad secondary of the Tennessee Titans. The Titans have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to wide receivers through three games. The Colts currently sit as 3.5-point favorites with an implied team total of 23.25 points. This game is another that will be played in a dome which should help the passing offenses. There is no reason to expect the Titans to be able to shut Pittman Jr. down in this one.
Tyler Lockett (SEA) – $5,900 @ DET
It wasn’t too long ago that I was touting Tyler Lockett as a drop in redraft leagues. Life sure comes at you fast. In one of the more surprising developments of the season so far, Geno Smith has been very good and the Seahawks played at a very fast pace last game. These developments have been extremely encouraging for Lockett and teammate D.K. Metcalf. As previously mentioned, this game is one of the best offensive environments on the slate so it stands to reason that Lockett, as one of the main wide receivers would be in a great spot here. He’s simply far too cheap given all these aspects. It wouldn’t be surprising at all if we looked up and Lockett was one of the best point-per-dollar wide receivers on the slate when it’s all said and done.
Tyler Lockett has had EXACTLY 11 targets and caught EXACTLY 9 of them Weeks 2/3
19.7 and 16.6 fantasy points
92 and 82 rec yds
The Lions are currently giving up the 7th most PPG to WR's. Lockett is being started in 51% of Sleeper Leagues
— Nick Skrip (@P2WFantasy) September 27, 2022
Others to Consider: Brandin Cooks (HOU) – $5,800 v LAC, Drake London (ATL) – $6,100 v CLE, D.J. Moore (CAR) – $5,300 v ARI, Richie James Jr. (NYG) – $4,000 v CHI, D.K. Metcalf (SEA) – $6,800 @ DET, Diontae Johnson (PIT) – $6,000 v NYJ
Tight Ends
Kyle Pitts (ATL) – $5,000 v CLE
FINALLY! We finally saw Kyle Pitts get more involved this past week. Arthur Smith finally realized he has a mismatch nightmare on his hands and should design ways to get the ball in his hands. Pitts came into his Sophomore season with a ton of promise only to score 3.9 fantasy points each of the first two weeks and leave fantasy managers scrambling for answers. Last week he saw eight targets and caught five of them for 87 yards. Pitts scored 13.7 fantasy points and that was without a touchdown. He was regularly ripping off chunk gains and making defenders look helpless. Hopefully, Smith realizes he needs to keep feeding this beast. This week the Atlanta Falcons get to take on the Cleveland Browns. The Browns are not an amazing matchup but not one to avoid either. The more appealing aspect of this matchup is the overall game environment. The 47.5-point combined total is one of the highest O/U on the slate and with a spread of only one point, it could turn into a back-and-forth shootout. This is another game that will be played in a dome as well, which is even more encouraging for those looking to use Pitts this week.
Kyle Pitts all receptions from Week 3
🌟 42% target share
🌟 165 air yards (5th in NFL)
🌟 18.4 ADOT
🌟 13.2 pass block % (only concern)That designed TE screen needs to be called at least twice a game. Well done this week, ATL pic.twitter.com/zYIULl85lu
— Kyle Lindemann (@LuckIsMadeFF) September 26, 2022
T.J. Hockenson (DET) – $4,100 @ SEA
T.J. Hockenson will likely be extremely chalky this week with Amon-Ra St. Brown ruled out. It really doesn’t matter, especially in cash builds. In GPPs it’s ok to fade Hockenson a bit and get some leverage but this looks like a smash spot for him this week. We’ve talked plenty about how juicy this game environment looks and that holds true for Hockenson as well. Jared Goff has been very good so far this season and St. Brown has been the one that has benefited most to this point. It may seem like centuries ago but just last season Hockenson was the TE3 through the first 12 games of the season before St. Brown’s breakout. This could be the week to take advantage of what will likely be extra target volume for Hockenson. Given how brutal the tight end position is on a weekly basis, this makes Hockenson one of the best Week 4 Draftkings plays.
Others to Consider: David Njoku (CLE) – $3,700 @ ATL, Dalton Schultz (DAL) – $3,900 v WAS, Gerald Everett (LAC) – $4,000 @ HOU
Defense/Special Teams
In terms of choosing a defense/special teams, it’s the last spot I fill in every week. It’s pretty random but there are a few areas to gain an advantage. I aim to target the heavily favored teams, who usually play with a lead. This forces their opponent to throw it more often which can help lead to extra sacks and turnovers and hopefully a touchdown. Another aspect to target is turnover and sack-prone quarterbacks. My advice is to fill out the rest of your lineup first and then pick your favorite D/ST out of the remaining money.
My Tentative Cash Game Lineup
- QB – Geno Smith
- RB – Khalil Herbert
- RB – Jamaal Williams
- WR – Diontae Johnson
- WR – Tyler Lockett
- WR – Brandin Cooks
- TE – T.J. Hockenson
- Flex – Christian McCaffrey
- DST – Jacksonville Jaguars
Make sure to tune in next week to see the results from my Week 4 DraftKings plays and to see the best picks for Week 5. Best of luck to everyone and let’s all enjoy some football and win some money!