The NFL season kicks off in around a month from now. The New Orleans Saints go into the season with high expectations and will surely be fantasy and sports-gaming darlings. Most of the high profile Saints players have seasonal prop bets on top of the team totals. Here is a list of the best and worst New Orleans Saints prop and futures bets for the 2020 NFL Season.
Best and Worst New Orleans Saints Prop and Futures Bets in 2020
Best Props and Futures
Michael Thomas Regular Season Receptions – Under 120.5 (-115)
Michael Thomas is coming off a record-setting reception performance in 2019 of 149. Thomas’ record is what sets this reception total at such a high number. Thomas’ previous three seasons saw a high mark of 125 receptions in 2018. That season, the receiver with the most receptions was Tre’Quan Smith at only 28. In 2017, Ted Ginn had 53 receptions which left 104 Thomas. With the addition of a true second receiver in Emmanuel Sanders, the Saints will not have to rely on Thomas as much as they did in 2018 and 2019.
Drew Brees Regular Season Passing Yards – Over 4,000.5 (-115)
Drew Brees only played 11 games in 2019 and had nearly 3,000 yards, averaging 270 yards per game. He was well above 4,000 yards in both 2018 and 2017 also. The only way Brees does not get to 4,000 yards is if he is injured. In the past 10 years, Brees has started 15 or more games nine times. Brees’ average yards per game in 2018 and 2017 were both around 270 yards as well. Even if Brees only starts 15 games, he gets over the 4,000 mark.
Alvin Kamara Regular Season Rushing Yards – Under 905.5 (-115)
Alvin Kamara has failed to reach 900 rushing yards in any of his previous three seasons. With Latavius Murray still on this team and the emergence of Taysom Hill, the Saints do not have to rely on rushing Kamara between the tackles. Kamara has the ability to rush for well over this total but he will most likely not get enough touches to go over.
New Orleans Saints Win Total – Over 10.5 (+100)
New Orleans has one of the higher win totals after winning 13 games in 2019. The NFC South has the AFC West and the NFC North on this year’s schedule. This means easier games versus rebuilding teams like the Los Angeles Chargers, Detroit Lions, Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, and Las Vegas Raiders. This also means tough games against the Kansas City Chiefs, Green Bay Packers, and Minnesota Vikings. Even with the San Francisco 49ers on the schedule, the Saints should be able to get 11 or 12 wins in 2020.
Worst Props and Futures
New Orleans Saints – Most Regular Season Wins (+900)
Although the Saints do have one of the best teams in the NFL on paper, there are too many unknowns to be comfortable with this future. The San Francisco 49ers have one of the better schedules of the year. The Baltimore Ravens are still a powerhouse and look to build off of 2019. Also, the Kansas City Chiefs have not gotten worse coming off their Super Bowl run. All of these variables and the NFC South being better overall, this is not a future worth the longshot.
Drew Brees Regular Season Touchdowns – Over/Under 30.5
Touchdowns seem to vary with Brees year to year depending on how the offense is built. Brees has failed to reach 30 touchdowns in two of his last three years but did go over 30 in the previous nine seasons. Taysom Hill is still on this team for gadget plays and if Brees misses any games, 30 will be a difficult number to achieve. This is not a touchdown total worth looking at since there are better ways to invest.
