Sports. Honestly. Since 2011

SEC Week 12 Betting Lines: CFB Playoff Hallucinations

It’s the second week in November. The 2025 season is almost gone. It seems like just yesterday we were booking Nuss, DJ, and LaNorris trips to New York City for the Heisman Trophy presentation. C’est la vie. Rather than crying over spilled milk and untimely interceptions, we need to get to the SEC Week 12 betting lines. But first, we have to unravel some hallucinations from the CFB Playoff committee’s rankings for Week 11.

If you have used or read anything about AI, you know that you should beware of hallucinations. We asked ChatGPT to define what exactly a hallucination is. ChatGPT said, “An AI hallucination happens when I confidently generate information that isn’t true or isn’t supported by real data. In other words, it’s when I make something up — a fact, a quote, an event — that sounds convincing but is actually incorrect.” We will use that definition to break down the three biggest SEC hallucinations from this week’s poll.

Three CFB Playoff Hallucinations After Week 2

  1. “Eight SEC Teams in the CFB Playoff.” Ok, this one didn’t come from the committee, but it came from SEC Commissioner Greg Sankey. Sankey said last week that he felt, “there is a real scenario where the SEC is an 8-bid conference.” We love you, Greg, and you do lots of nice things for the conference. This is just not realistic or likely….
  2. “Texas Tech Moving on Up” Cody Campbell ROI is looking good 12 weeks into the college football season. The Red Raiders have only a single loss and sit at #5 in the poll. The committee seems to be positioning CFB’s $25 million team for a first-round bye. Tech is good, but have they done anything that impressive to just leap from over Ole Miss?
  3. “Arch in Oxford” Texas is back (for now). The former #1 team in the country, which was unranked a month ago, finds itself back in contention for a playoff spot. The committee got plenty of clicks by having an all-SEC matchup in Oxford and put Arch back at home, where Uncle Eli and Grandaddy starred. A road game in Athens this week and home to the Aggies in two weeks stand in the Longhorns’ way of making it a reality. Sure, it would be fine and all eyes would be on Oxford, but for now, it’s our biggest hallucination.

Fanduel SEC Week 12 Betting Lines

Week 12 SEC rankings are based on the AP media poll. Lines and game totals are courtesy of FanDuel. All games are Eastern Standard Time. Check the links for insights from your favorite Last Word on College Football writers. After the lines, we’ll take a big picture look and predict the five biggest Week 11 SEC matchups on the weekend.

Matchup Date Time Channel Line
South Carolina vs. No. 3 Texas A&M 11/15 Noon ESPN #12thMan – 19.5
Arkansas vs. LSU 11/15 12:45 PM SECN #Tigahs – 5.5
Tennessee Tech vs. Kentucky 11/15 1:30 PM SECN+
No. 11 Oklahoma vs. No. 4 Alabama 11/15 3:30 PM ABC #RollTide – 5.5
New Mexico State vs. No. 23 Tennessee 11/15 4:15 PM SECN #RockyTop – 40.5
Florida vs. No. 7 Ole Miss 11/15 7:00 PM ESPN #LaneTrain – 14.5
No. 10 Texas vs. No. 5 Georgia 11/15 7:30 PM ESPN #Dawgs – 5.5
Mississippi State vs. Missouri 11/15 7:45 PM SECN #MIZ -7.5

Last Week’s Picks 

Three wins, two losses last week. Auburn found its offense in Nashville in its first game without Hugh Freeze, too bad it left its defense on The Plains. Is it time to shut it down in Gainesville? How the heck did Kentucky win 38-7 in Lexington? That is just a bad look all around for Gator Nation. Hats off to Georgia for taking care of business in StarkVegas, Alabama, winning ugly in Tuscaloosa, and Texas A&M continuing to avoid doing late-season Texas A&M things in CoMo.

  • Week 1: 3-2
  • YTD: 34-21

South Carolina vs. No. 3 Texas A&M

19.5 points. All the momentum, their offensive line coach, and their offensive coordinator have left the building in Columbia, SC. South Carolina is reeling in 2025. Shane Beamer looked ready to ascend and build off a 9-3 season in 2024, which saw them knock off the Aggies at Williams-Brice. Now, the Gamecocks are playing out the string and looking for answers as they wind down the season. Another sideways loss could stir more rumblings for another change for the Gamecocks, up top with Beamer.

Pick: Texas A&M

Arkansas vs. LSU

The Boot has lost some sizzle. LSU’s offense appears to be broken, regardless of who is playing quarterback. That made matters worse for the Tigers last week in their loss to Alabama. This week, they play a fellow broken team in Arkansas. Bobby Petrino has been unable to inject any new life or wins into the Razorbacks since taking over for Sam Pittman. Look for this one to be weird and a prime second-screen watch.

Pick: LSU 

No. 11 Oklahoma vs. No. 4 Alabama

Alabama just wins at home under Kalen DeBoer. It was pretty last week, and the run game appeared out of the lunchbox against LSU, but Ty Simpson and the Crimson Tide receiving corps made up for it. DeBoer and the Tide look to return the favor from last year’s 24-3 drubbing in Norman. The Sooners knocked the Tide out of the Playoff with that win. Alabama can effectively do the same to the Sooners that seem them sitting as the first team out of the Playoff. Look for this one to be an aerial assault, as neither side has consistently mastered the ground game.

Pick: Alabama

Florida vs. No. 7 Ole Miss

What are the stakes in Oxford on Saturday night? Lane Kiffin is the prettiest girl at prom. LSU, Auburn, and Florida are all looking to steal Ole Miss’s date. The Gators were outclassed last week in Lexington, and on paper, they should get housed in Oxford. However, this game is played on the field, not in theory. Look for Kiffin to make a statement on the scoreboard and probably on Twitter after the game. A win locks up a home playoff game for the Rebels in the First Round.

Pick: Ole Miss

No. 10 Texas vs. No. 5 Georgia

Georgia spoiled Texas’ party twice in 2024. The Dawgs beat the Longhorns in Austin and then came from behind to knock them off again in the SEC Championship. Texas now has the chance to play spoiler. We already previewed Texas’s path to the playoffs above. Georgia’s is just as challenging. Texas this week and then a road game at a “neutral” site in Atlanta against Georgia Tech. Both teams will have to win at least one of their final two big games to secure their spot in the playoffs. Drop both, and they will be on the outside looking in and playing in some forgotten New Year’s Day Bowl Game.

Pick: Georgia 

Main Photo: Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

About Craig McMichael

Craig McMichael covers Georgia Bulldog Football for Last Word on College Football. Craig also covers D1 Lacrosse. Join in on the latest news and conversations on the SEC and college football on Twitter @mcmicha7