The ATP Masters 1000 in Miami moves into the 1/32 finals, with some interesting value spots. Bergs looks dangerous after a strong opener and could push Etcheverry. Berrettini should keep things tight against Bublik if his serve clicks, and Fucsovics has both the H2H edge and enough consistency to handle O’Connell.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/32-Finals
Bergs – Etcheverry: 20.03.2026 21:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Zizou Bergs has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Bergs defeated Brooksby in the opening round in straight sets. Last season in Miami, Bergs lost to Berrettini in the third round in straight sets.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Shapovalov in the opening match in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Bergs is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated in the opening round and enjoys playing on fast courts. Under these conditions, we expect Bergs to be a better player.
That being said, Bergs covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Zizou Bergs +1.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Bublik – Berrettini: 20.03.2026 19:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Alexander Bublik has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Hijikata in the third round in three tight sets. Last season in Miami, the Kazakh lost to Paul in the second round in three tight sets.
Matteo Berrettini has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Berrettini defeated Muller in the opening match in straight sets. Last season in Miami, the Italian lost to Fritz in the quarterfinals in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Bublik is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Berrettini enjoys playing in Miami and has dominated in the opening round. If he serves well, we expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Berrettini covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Berrettini
O´Connell – Fucsovics: 20.03.2026 16:30 CEST
H2H: 0-2
Christopher O’Connell has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, the Australian qualified for the main draw of the tournament. In the final qualifying round, O’Connell defeated Blockx in three tight sets after losing the opening set.
Marton Fucsovics has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Fils in the third round in straight sets. Last season in Miami, Fucsovics lost to Medvedev in the second round in straight sets. He has never made it past the third round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fucsovics is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings against O’Connell without dropping a set. We expect him to dominate the rallies and get a win.
That being said, Fucsovics winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Marton Fucsovics winning @1.50 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
