ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/16-Finals
Cerundolo – Ofner: 12.05.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Francisco Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Cerundolo lost in the semifinals against Ruud in tight straight sets. This week in Rome, Cerundolo won the opening match against Jarry in straight sets. Last season in Rome, Khachanov stopped him in the third round.
Sebastian Ofner has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Ofner qualified for the main draw tournament by winning both qualifying matches in straight sets. The Austrian upset Tiafoe in three tight sets in the second main draw round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. The Argentine is in great form and one of the most consistent clay court players. On the other hand, Ofner is a Challenger Tour-level player, so we expect Cerundolo to win easily.
That being said, Cerundolo covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo -4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Sinner – De Jong: 12.05.2025 15:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Jannik Sinner has won 25 straight matches. He is returning to competitive tennis after serving a three-month suspension related to anti-doping procedures. This week in Rome, Sinner easily won his opening-round match against Navone in straight sets.
Jesper de Jong has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, de Jong failed to qualify for the main draw tournament, losing against Seyboth Wild in the final. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, de Jong entered the main draw as a lucky loser. In the second main draw round, de Jong demolished Davidovich Fokina 6-0 6-2.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the big favourite in this matchup, and we partially agree. However, de Jong played incredibly well against Davidovich Fokina. We expect him to fight hard and keep this match tight.
That said, de Jong covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jesper de Jong +5.5 games handicap @1.91 @bet365
Munar – Korda: 12.05.2025 16:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Jaume Munar has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Munar demolished Shelton in the second round. The Spaniard lost against Norrie in the second round last season in Rome.
Sebastian Korda has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, the American defeated Vukic in the opening round in straight sets. Korda was great under pressure, saving seven out of seven breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Munar is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is a clay-court specialist and performed well against Shelton in the second round. On the other hand, Korda struggled with his form for the last couple of months. We expect Munar to be a better player and win.
That being said, Munar winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jaume Munar winning @2.20 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
