ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-Finals
Struff – Davidovich Fokina: Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Jan-Lennard Struff has lost five straight matches. His last win happened in February in Marseille. Last week in Phoenix, Struff lost in the opening round match against Fonseca in three tight sets. He has never made it past the third round in Miami. Last season, Struff lost against de Minaur in the third round.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Indian Wells, where he lost against McDonald in the opening round. Last season in Miami, the Spaniard was stopped against Ruud in the third round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Davidovich Fokina is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. The Spaniard has been playing well for the last couple of weeks. He has played back-to-back finals in Delray Beach and Acapulco. On the other hand, Struff is on a 5-match losing streak.
That being said, Davidovich Fokina winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina winning @1.53 @bet365
Thompson – Giron: Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Jordan Thompson has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Indian Wells, where he lost against Moutet in three tight sets. Last season in Miami, Thompson lost against Monfils in the second round.
Marcos Giron has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Indian Wells, Giron lost against Fils in the 1/8-Finals. He has never made it past the second round in Miami. Last season, he lost against Koepfer in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Giron is the favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Thompson is a solid hard-court player. On the other hand, Giron historically underperformed in Miami. We expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Thompson covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jordan Thompson +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Vukic – Goffin: Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Aleksandar Vukic has lost five straight matches. His last win came in January against Borg, ranked outside the top 400. It has been a disappointing season so far for the Australian. He has never made it past the opening round in Miami. Last season, Vukic lost against Carballes Baena in the opening round.
David Goffin has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Cap Cana, Goffin lost against Altmaier in the opening round. He is one of the most experienced players in this year’s tournament. Goffin was the semifinalist in 2016, also his best result in Miami.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Goffin had several decent matches in the last couple of weeks. He is much more experienced than Vukic. On the other hand, Vukic is on a five-match losing streak. We believe Goffin’s experience will prevail in this matchup.
That being said, Goffin winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: David Goffin winning @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports
