ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells quarterfinals
Shelton – Draper: 14.03.2025 01:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Ben Shelton has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Shelton has not lost a single set. En route to the quarterfinals, the young American won against Navone, Khachanov, and Nakashima. It is his third appearance in Indian Wells. Reaching the quarterfinals is his biggest result in Indian Wells.
Jack Draper has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Draper won all matches in straight sets. Yesterday, in the 1/8-Finals, Draper defeated Fritz in straight sets. He was dominant from the start until the end. Last season, the Brit lost against O’Connell in the opening round.
Best Bets to Make
Main Bet
According to the bookies, Draper is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He has faced three tough hard-court players so far in the draw and has defeated all of them in straight sets. A few weeks ago, Draper reached the final in Doha. On the other hand, Shelton has struggled with his form since February. We expect Draper to be a better player tonight and win.
That being said, Draper winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jack Draper winning @1.67 @bet365
Second Bet
Shelton and Draper are both great servers. They both delivered great tennis this week in Indian Wells. We believe Draper will win this match, but we expect a tight match with possible three sets and tiebreaks.
That being said, over games is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: over 23.5 games @-110 @FanDuel
Cerundolo – Alcaraz: 14.03.2025 03:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Francisco Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Cerundolo had his most significant challenge in the opening round, winning against McDonald in three tight sets. In the 1/8-Finals, the Argentine upset de Minaur in straight sets. It is his fourth appearance in Indian Wells. He was stopped in the third round last season against Shelton.
Carlos Alcaraz has won four of his last five matches. The Spaniard has dominated this week in Indian Wells, winning all matches in straight sets. In the 1/8-Finals, Alcaraz demolished Dimitrov 6-1 6-1. He offered and saved three breakpoints. Alcaraz is a back-to-back champion in Indian Wells. He won two consecutive titles in 2023 and 2024.
Best Bets to Make
Main Bet
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the big favorite in this matchup, and we agree. As previously mentioned, the Spaniard is a back-to-back champion in Indian Wells. He dominated against everyone this week, and we expect this trend to continue.
That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -5.5 games handicap @-118 @FanDuel
Second Bet
Alcaraz will start this match aggressively and dictate the tempo from the beginning. We expect him to break Cerundolo’s serve first and easily close out the match.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alcaraz breaks serve first, wins the first set, and wins the match @-190 @FanDuel
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
