The ATP Masters 1000 Madrid quarterfinals bring an interesting mix of dominance and potential resistance. Jannik Sinner continues his incredible run and is the clear favourite, but in-form Rafael Jodar could make things competitive if he maintains his level. Meanwhile, Arthur Fils carries strong momentum into his clash with Jiri Lehecka and looks well-positioned to edge a high-quality baseline battle.
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid quarterfinals
Sinner – Jodar: 29.04.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jannik Sinner has won twenty straight matches. The Italian has won three consecutive Masters 1000 titles in Indian Wells, Miami and Monte Carlo. Sinner defeated Bonzi and Moller in the opening rounds this week in Madrid. Today in the 1/8-Finals, the Italian defeated Norrie in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, Sinner dominated throughout the match.
Rafael Jodar has won four of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, Jodar upset de Minaur in the second round, winning in straight sets easily. In the third round, the Spaniard outlasted Fonseca in three tight sets. He dominated in the deciding set, winning all important points. Today in the 1/8-Finals, Jodar defeated Kopriva in straight sets. After struggling in the opening set, the Spaniard stepped up his level and won eight consecutive games.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Jodar is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is fully confident and is playing his best tennis. The Spaniard has a solid serve, and if he stays calm, we expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Jodar covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Rafael Jodar +4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Fils – Lehecka: 29.04.2026 21:30 CEST
H2H: 2-2
Arthur Fils has won eight straight matches. Last week in Barcelona, Fils won the title, defeating Rublev in the final in straight sets. This week in Madrid, the Frenchman won the opening match against Buse in three tight sets after playing for three hours. In the third round, Fils defeated Nava in straight sets. Today in the 1/8-Finals, Fils defeated Etcheverry in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving all five breakpoints.
Jiri Lehecka has won four of his last five matches. This week in Madrid, Lehecka won the opening round match against Tabilo in three tight sets. In the third round, Lehecka demolished Michelsen in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints. Today in the 1/8-Finals, the Czech defeated Musetti in straight sets. Lehecka offered and saved four breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fils is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in the last two matches here in Madrid. The Frenchman is a better clay-court player than Lehecka, and we expect him to keep the rallies long and dominate them.
That being said, Fils winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Fils winning @1.57 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
