ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati 1/16-Finals
Opelka – Comesana: 12.08.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Reilly Opelka has won four of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, Opelka has won both matches so far in straight sets. In the second round, the American upset de Minaur in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving all seven breakpoints. Last season in Cincinnati, he lost to Shelton in the opening round in straight sets.
Francisco Comesana has won three of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, Comesana has had a favourable draw so far. In the opening round, he defeated Munar in straight sets. Darderi retired mid-match against him in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Comesana is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He played his best tennis this week in Cincinnati. We expect him to hold his service games easily and keep this match tight.
That being said, Comesana covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Comesana +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Popyrin – Rublev: 12.08.2025 17:00 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Alexei Popyrin has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, Popyrin had a decent run, reaching the quarterfinals. He eventually lost to Zverev in three tight sets. This week in Cincinnati, the Australian won the opening match against Landaluce in straight sets.
Andrey Rublev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Toronto, the Russian lost to Fritz in the quarterfinals in straight sets. This week in Cincinnati, he dominated against Tien in the opening match. He won comfortably in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Popyrin is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He has won the past two head-to-head meetings against Rublev in straight sets. Popyrin played well this season and will be confident coming into this matchup. We expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Popyrin covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexei Popyrin +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Medjedovic – Alcaraz: 12.08.2025 18:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Hamad Medjedovic has won three of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, the Serb won both matches in straight sets. In the second round, he defeated Griekspoor in straight sets easily.
Carlos Alcaraz has won four of his last five matches. This week in Cincinnati, the Spaniard defeated Dzumhur in three sets. He lost his serve three times in a rollercoaster-type match. Last season in Cincinnati, he lost to Monfils in the opening match in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Medjedovic is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. While we still believe Alcaraz will win this match, we expect Medjedovic to keep this match close. The Spaniard has not played many hard-court matches in the past few months. He struggled against Dzumhur and was far away from his best level.
That being said, Medjedovic covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Hamad Medjedovic +4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
