Day 3 of the 2025 ATP Mutua Madrid Open sees top seeds entering the fray, with Alexander Zverev, Holger Rune, and Taylor Fritz beginning their campaigns. Fritz, the third seed, faces Christopher O’Connell in his opening match, aiming to defend the points he earned by reaching the semifinals last year, where he fell to Andrey Rublev. With a strong field and high stakes, the action is set to intensify at the Caja Mágica.
ATP Madrid Open Day 3 Predictions
Benjamin Bonzi vs Hubert Hurkacz
Head-to-Head: Hurkacz 2-0 Bonzi
Hubert Hurkacz enters Madrid playing his first clay-court match of the season and hasn’t quite matched the level he showed earlier in the year. Still, he leads Benjamin Bonzi 2-0 in their head-to-head and has been the more consistent player overall. Bonzi, meanwhile, only notched the first main-draw win on clay in 2025 in the first round. Even with some rust, Hurkacz should be favored to advance.
Prediction: Hurkacz in 3
Nuno Borges vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Head-to-Head: Borges 1-0 Davidovich Fokina
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has looked sharp on clay recently, with deep runs in Monte Carlo and Barcelona. Nuno Borges did beat him once before but has just one main-draw clay win this season. With home-court advantage and stronger recent form, Davidovich Fokina is the clear favorite.
Prediction: Davidovich Fokina in 2
Francisco Comesana vs Arthur Fils
Head-to-Head: first meeting
Arthur Fils enters the Madrid Open second round in strong form, having reached the semifinals in Barcelona and the quarterfinals in Monte Carlo, showcasing his growing prowess on clay. Francisco Comesana, while achieving a solid first-round win over Pedro Martínez, faces a significant challenge against the higher-ranked Fils. Given Fils’ recent performances and confidence on clay, he is the clear favorite to advance.
Prediction: Fils in 2
Taylor Fritz vs Christoper O’Connell
Head-to-Head: Fritz 2-0 O’Connell
Taylor Fritz will face Christopher O’Connell in the second round of the Madrid Open, marking his first clay-court match of the season after missing Monte Carlo due to injury. Fritz leads their head-to-head 2–0, including a straight-sets win at Wimbledon in 2024. O’Connell secured a solid first-round victory over Camilo Ugo Carabelli, winning 79% of his first-serve points. However, with Fritz’s higher ranking and previous successes on clay, including a semifinal run in Madrid last year, he enters the match as the favorite.
Prediction: Fritz in 2
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
