ATP 500 Munich 1/8-Finals
Cerundolo – Shevchenko: 17.04.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 2-1
Francisco Cerundolo has won three of his last five matches. Cerundolo won the opening match against Struff this week in Munich in straight sets. He was relentless, winning 6-0 6-2. He offered and saved only one breakpoint.
Alexander Shevchenko has won three of his last five matches. This week in Munich, Shevchenko lost in the final qualifying round against Gojo. However, with several players withdrawing from the tournament, Shevchenko entered the main draw as a lucky loser. He won against Cobolli in three tight sets in the opening main draw round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the big favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a clay-court specialist and will probably become a top-20 player after the clay season. On the other hand, Shevchenko is outside the top 100 and has struggled with his form for the last couple of months. We expect Cerundolo to be a better player and win easily.
That being said, Cerundolo winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo winning 2-0 @1.53 @bet365
Goffin – Navone: 17.04.2025 Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
David Goffin has won three of his last five matches. He won the opening-round match against Harris this week in Munich in three sets. In the deciding set, he saved both breakpoints and deservedly won in three sets.
Mariano Navone has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Monte Carlo, he lost in the opening round against Berrettini in straight sets. This week in Munich, Navone turned the match around against Auger-Aliassime. After losing the opening set 2-6, Navone turned the match around and won in three sets after spending over three hours.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Navone is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Right now, Navone is a better clay-court player than Goffin. He played well against Auger-Aliassime, and we expect him to continue in that fashion.
That being said, Navone covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Mariano Navone -3.5 games handicap @1.85
Humbert – Marozsan: 17.04.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 2-0
Ugo Humbert has lost three of his last five matches. The Frenchman has struggled with his form since winning the ATP title in Marseille. Last week in Monte Carlo, Humbert lost in the opening round against Popyrin in three tight sets. This week in Munich, the Frenchman defeated Jarry in three tight sets.
Fabian Marozsan has won three of his last five matches. This week in Munich, He beat Engel in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Humbert is a better clay-court player than Marozsan, which he proved last season at the Olympic Games when he won in straight sets easily on clay. We expect a similar outcome tomorrow as well.
That being said, Humbert winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert winning @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports
