ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo 1/16-Finals
Altmaier – Gasquet: 09.04.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2
Daniel Altmaier has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Altmaier qualified for the main draw tournament. The German upset Auger-Aliassime in straight sets in the opening main draw round. He trailed 1-4 in the opening set but turned it around.
Richard Gasquet has won three of his last five matches. Gasquet won the opening round against Arnaldi in Monte Carlo in three tight sets after spending almost three hours on the court. He was granted a wild card for the main draw tournament. His biggest result here happened in 2005 when he lost in the semifinals against Nadal.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Altmaier is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He played his best tennis in the opening round. On the other hand, Gasquet has not had any remarkable results for the last couple of months. He turns 39 this year and had an exhausting opening-round match. We expect Altmaier to dominate in this matchup.
That being said, Altmaier covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Daniel Altmaier -3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Lehecka – Musetti: 09.04.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Jiri Lehecka has lost four of his last five matches. He ended his losing streak this week in Monte Carlo, winning against Korda in the opening round. Lehecka saved one set point in the second set and deservedly won in straight sets.
Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Musetti fought hard in the opening round. After losing the opening set 4-6, he defeated Bu in three tight sets. After almost three hours on the court, Musetti won in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Lehecka is the slight underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated against Korda and played well. Lehecka is a solid clay court player, and we expect him to have an upper hand in this match. On the other hand, Musetti struggled against the qualifier and spent more time on the court.
That being said, Lehecka winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jiri Lehecka winning @2.10 @bet365
Cerundolo – Alcaraz: 09.04.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-2
Francisco Cerundolo has won four of his last five matches. Cerundolo demolished Fognini 6-0 6-3 this week in Monte Carlo within an hour. He offered and saved two breakpoints.
Carlos Alcaraz has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where Goffin upset him in the opening round. His last clay court match was at the Olympic Games last year. Alcaraz played only once in Monte Carlo in 2022.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Cerundolo is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Alcaraz has not played competitive matches on clay this season and will need time to adapt to the surface. Cerundolo dominated the opening round, and we expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Cerundolo covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo +4.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
