ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo 1/16-Finals
Rublev – Monfils: 09.04.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Andrey Rublev has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where Bergs upset him in the opening round. His last clay court match was in Umag last season. Last season in Monte Carlo, Rublev lost in the second round against Popyrin. He was the champion here in 2023.
Gael Monfils has won four of his last five matches. Monfils defeated Marozsan in the opening round in three sets this week in Monte Carlo. After losing the opening set 4-6, Monfils stepped up his level and demolished Marozsan 6-1 6-1 in the second and third sets. Last season, the Frenchman lost in the second round against Medvedev.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rublev is the favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Monfils is playing great and has already shown great tennis in the opening round in Monte Carlo. On the other hand, Rublev has not had any competitive matches on clay this season. We expect Monfils to keep this match tight.
That being said, Monfils covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Gael Monfils +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Djokovic – Tabilo: 09.04.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Novak Djokovic has won four of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where he hoped to get his 100th career title in Miami, but he was upset by Mensik in the final. His last clay court match was at the Olympic Games, where he won the gold medal, defeating Alcaraz in the final.
Alejandro Tabilo has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Tabilo defeated Wawrinka in three sets. After losing the opening set 1-6, Tabilo kept his composure and turned the match around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Tabilo is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Djokovic will play his first competitive clay court match and need time to adapt to the surface. Last year in Rome, Tabilo won against Djokovic in straight sets under similar conditions. We expect Tabilo to keep this match tight.
That being said, Tabilo covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Tabilo +4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Medvedev – Muller: 09.04.2025 15:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Daniil Medvedev has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, he won the opening-round match against Khachanov in three tight sets after spending almost three hours on the court.
Alexandre Muller has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, the Frenchman won against Ugo Carabelli in straight sets. He offered and saved three breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Medvedev hates playing on clay, and he had an exhausting opening-round match. Muller is in form, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Muller covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alexandre Muller +3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
