ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo 1/32-Finals
Rune – Borges: 08.04.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Holger Rune has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where he lost against Opelka in the opening match. His last clay court match was in Buenos Aires, where Navone defeated him in the 1/8-Finals. Last season in Monte Carlo, Rune lost in the quarterfinals against Sinner.
Nuno Borges has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Marrakech, Borges lost against Carballes Baena in the quarterfinals in straight sets. This will be his debut campaign in Monte Carlo. He usually struggles on slow clay courts.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rune is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He was the finalist here in 2023 and also had a decent run in 2024. Borges struggles on slow clay courts, and we expect Rune to be a better player tomorrow. The Dane won both head-to-head meetings in straight sets, and we expect a similar outcome tomorrow.
That being said, Rune winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Holger Rune winning 2-0 @2.10 @bet365
Thompson – Tsitsipas: 08.04.2025 15:30 CEST
H2H: 1-3
Jordan Thompson has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Houston, Thompson lost in the opening round against Quinn in three tight sets. This week in Monte Carlo, Thompson easily defeated Mpetshi Perricard in straight sets in the opening round. He served fantastic, but he did not offer any breakpoints.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where he lost in the third round against Korda. His last clay court match was at the Olympic Games last season. He has won the title here for three of the last four years. Tsitsipas is the defending champion in Monte Carlo.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Thompson is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He served brilliantly in the opening match, and if he brings his A game, Thompson will have a chance against Tsitsipas.
That being said, Thompson covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jordan Thompson +4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Draper – Giron: 08.04.2025 16:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Jack Draper has won four of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where he lost in the opening round against Mensik. A week before, Draper won the title in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the second round in Monte Carlo.
Marcos Giron has won three of his last five matches. Giron won against Shapovalov in the opening round in straight sets this week in Monte Carlo. He trailed 1-3 in the second set but turned it around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Draper is the favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. He usually underperforms on clay courts and has never had remarkable results on clay or in Monte Carlo. We expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Giron covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Marcos Giron +3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
