ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo 1/32-Finals
Sonego – Martinez: 08.04.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Lorenzo Sonego has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Marrakech, Sonego lost against Kopriva in the opening round. Last season in Monte Carlo, Sonego lost in the third round to Humbert. His best result was in 2019, when he reached the quarterfinals.
Pedro Martinez has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Bucharest, Martinez reached the quarterfinals. He eventually retired mid-match against Dzumhur. The Spaniard has never made it past the second round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sonego is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Martinez had fitness problems in Bucharest last week. Sonego is a solid clay-court player, and we expect him to play well this week.
That being said, Sonego winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lorenzo Sonego winning @1.50 @bet365
Etcheverry – Moutet: 08.04.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Houston, Etcheverry lost in the opening round against Kovacevic in straight sets. In his debut campaign last season, Etcheverry was demolished by Tsitsipas in the second round.
Corentin Moutet has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Moutet qualified for the main draw tournament. Moutet lost the opening set 2-6 in the final qualifying round but turned it around. He spent almost four hours on the court. Last season, the Frenchman lost in the opening round against Popyrin in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Etcheverry is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Moutet spent almost four hours on the court in his last match, so he will be fatigued coming into this match. Etcheverry is a clay-court specialist, and we expect him to get the job done easily.
That being said, Etcheverry winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tomas Martin Etcheverry winning @1.62 @bet365
Tiafoe – Kecmanovic: 08.04.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 4-1
Frances Tiafoe has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Houston, Tiafoe finished as a runner-up, losing against Brooksby in the final. He flew to Monte Carlo today and had almost no time to adapt to the surface.
Miomir Kecmanovic has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where he lost in the second round against Ruud. His last clay court match was at the French Open last season. Last season in Monte Carlo, the Serb was stopped in the second round, losing against Dimitrov in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Kecmanovic is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Tiafoe will probably be jet-lagged coming into this match, but Kecmanovic had enough time to prepare. Tiafoe usually underperforms on European clay courts, so we expect Kecmanovic to win easily.
That being said, Kecmanovic covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Miomir Kecmanovic -2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
