ATP 250 Marrakech semifinals
Carballes Baena – Darderi: 05.04.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Roberto Carballes Baena has won four of his last five matches. The Spaniard has had a favorable draw so far in Marrakech. In the 1/8-finals, Carballes Baena defeated Virtanen in straight sets. Today, in the quarterfinals, Borges had no answer for Baena’s game. The Spaniard was great under pressure, saving 15/17 breakpoints. Carballes Baena ended up winning the match in straight sets. He was the finalist last season and the champion in 2023.
Luciano Darderi has won four of his last five matches. This week in Marrakech, Darderi had a favorable draw. His biggest challenge was in the 1/8-Finals against Gaston. After losing the opening set 2-6, he won in three tight sets. Kopriva fought hard in the opening set in the quarterfinals, but it was not enough. Darderi won in straight sets.
Best Bets to Make
Main Bet
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. The Spaniard is in great form and has not lost a single set this week in Marrakech. On the other hand, Darderi struggled throughout the season. Carballes Baena won both head-to-head meetings on clay in straight sets, and we expect a similar outcome tomorrow.
That being said, Carballes Baena winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Roberto Carballes Baena winning @2.10 @bet365
Extra Bet
Carballes Baena broke the opponent’s serve first in each match. Darderi has a weak serve, so we expect the Spaniard to be a better player and start off rapidly.
That said, Carballes Baena getting the first break is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Roberto Carballes Baena service break number 1 @-116 @FanDuel
Griekspoor – Majchrzak: 05.04.2025 15:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Tallon Griekspoor has won four of his last five matches. His last match before ATP Marrakech was in Indian Wells, where he reached the quarterfinals, losing against Rune in three tight sets. This week in Marrakech, Griekspoor won against Carreno-Busta in three tight sets in the opening match. Today, in the quarterfinals, Bellucci had no answer for the Dutch’s game. Griekspoor won comfortably in straight sets, saving all four breakpoints.
Kamil Majchrzak has won five straight matches. This week in Marrakech, Majchrzak qualified for the main draw tournament. In the 1/8-Finals, de Jong had no answer for his game. Majchrzak played aggressively well and served well throughout the match. Today, in the quarterfinals, Majchrzak won against Muller in straight sets. He was a better player from the start until the end.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Griekspoor is the favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Majchrzak won five straight matches in straight sets this week in Marrakech. He was dominant in every match and is playing his best tennis. We expect him to put up a big fight and win.
That being said, Majchrzak winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Kamil Majchrzak winning @2.50 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
