The ATP Wimbledon semifinals are here. There’s a clear undercard and a main event. British wild card Arthur Fery began this tournament outside the Top 100. He has soared to the semifinals with a completely unexpected run. He could rise to the Top 15 if the wins the championship. Standing in his way is Alexander Zverev, who is looking for two straight major titles after many years of failing to win even one. That’s the appetizer. Then comes the main course, featuring Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic. They have met in the Wimbledon semifinals before. The winner of that match becomes the favorite to win Wimbledon. If Djokovic can pull off the upset, he will move within one win of a 25th Major singles title. Sinner is trying to win his first Major title of 2026 and overcome his bitter setback at Roland-Garros. LWOS has our best bets for the two matches. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.
ATP Wimbledon
Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev: 8:30 EST
H2H: 0-0
The Wimbledon men’s semifinals begin with wild card Arthur Fery going up against No. 2 seed Alexander Zverev. The rise of Arthur Fery came out of nowhere. Ranked outside the Top 100, Fery had authored an entirely unremarkable career to this point. He hadn’t won a Major tournament main-draw match before 2025. He entered this year’s ATP Wimbledon event having gone no further than the second round of the main draw at any major tournament. Compare that to Jannik Sinner, Novak Djokovic, and the man he will face in this semifinal, Alexander Zverev. There are three semifinalists with a lot of experience at Majors, and then there’s Arthur Fery. He is the outlier here, but as a literal resident of Wimbledon (that’s true), he definitely feels at home. It’s an even bigger homecourt advantage than being a British player. Zverev comes into this match having won the Roland-Garros title. He looked very strong in the quarterfinals against Taylor Fritz, snapping a long losing streak against the American. There’s a lot to be said for the idea that Zverev is playing more confidently after finally winning a
Best Bet to Make
Welcome to our best bet section. You’re going to get a collection of bets to consider, also a confidence level which should guide how much you should invest in this match.
Parlay options: Zverev minus 1.5 sets at 1.36 at @1xbet, Fery plus 2.5 sets at 1.80 at @interwetten, Zverev minus 4.5 games at 1.46 at @1xbet
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 3 – bet half a unit on this match if you are going to bet, not a full unit.
You can see the parlay bets and our confidence level. Here’s why we have that view: Zverev is a confident and in-form player who is very likely to win the match, so if you’re looking for parlays, most of them should go to Zverev. However, in terms of winning a match in straight sets, Fery has the crowd on his side and offers enough reason to think he can at least swipe one set. It’s insurance against the two Zverev parlays if they lose, but it also offers you the chance to advance a leg on three different parlay tickets. Our confidence level for this match is low because Zverev could win comfortably but not by a huge number of games. On grass, A 6-4 set can be relatively routine. One player dominates on serve, gets one break, and that’s it. Zverev could cruise through this match but not run up the score in terms of his margin of victory. Zverev might break Fery once per set and win a match 18 games to 12. Fery still covers the game spread in that scenario. Yet, because Zverev is so clearly likely to win, we don’t think you should bet the farm on Fery. Bet half a unit instead of a whole one, not including the parlays, which should always be much smaller plays.
That being said, betting on Fery plus 6.5 games is the best bet you can make.
Value bet/ the best odds: Fery plus 6.5 games at 1.73 @bet365
Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic: 11:00 EST
H2H: 8-5
Here we go. This is the big one in the ATP Wimbledon semifinals on Friday. Jannik Sinner lost to Novak Djokovic at the Australian Open back in January. He then wilted in the Paris heat at Roland-Garros in a shocking loss to Juan Manuel Cerundolo. He hasn’t won a Major title this year. Carlos Alcaraz is injured, so Novak Djokovic figured to be Sinner’s main roadblock on the path to a 2026 Wimbledon championship. This is clearly Sinner’s biggest and most important match of the year. Sinner has not played this tournament as well as he possibly can. He has obviously not been bad (he’s in the semifinals, so he has won five matches), but he has been far from his best. He is not winning sets 6-2m 6-3, 6-1. He is winning a lot of 6-4, 7-5, and 7-6 sets. He is winning the most important points but is not dominating the way he used to. Novak Djokovic just won a five-hour, 15-minute quarterfinal marathon against Felix Auger-Aliassime. For a 39-year-old player, that kind of match would have left him roasted and toasted if he had just one day off before the semifinals, but because he gets two days off, he might be able to recover. The betting markets have Sinner as a very solid favorite precisely because of the doubts surrounding Djokovic’s stamina, which is not quite what it once was. However, the weather is expected to be hot, and Sinner does not handle heat well. That’s one of the really interesting parts of this match: Physical conditioning is not just something the 39-year-old Djokovic has to worry about. It could also affect Sinner.
Best Bet to Make
Parlay options: Djokovic +2.5 sets at 1.55 at @1xbet, Sinner -1.5 sets at 1.51 @1xbet, Djokovic +6.5 games at 1.45 at @1xbet
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 5 – bet maybe two thirds of a unit, no more than three fourths of a unit, on this match.
If you are going to put down some parlays on this match, you should have at least one Sinner parlay to offset the Djokovic parlays which exist. Most of the parlay plays and our best bet should be pro-Djokovic, however, because of the weather. It’s going to be hot, and Jannik Sinner does not handle heat well. This is the second semifinal, so it should start late afternoon Wimbledon time, which is one of the hottest parts of the day. If this match does go beyond three sets, which it probably will, there will be a little bit of relief for Sinner in the shade of the shadows which will begin to cover Centre Court, but the temperature will still be very warm if not hot. Djokovic is not a great hot-weather player, either, but Sinner’s body has had a very tough time holding up in these kinds of conditions. Also, as noted above, Sinner is winning a lot of close sets, the kinds of sets which are decided by no more than two games. Sinner will need to win at least one set by three games (6-3) to cover a game spread bet, so Djokovic plus the game spread is our best bet. Because Djokovic did just play a marathon quarterfinal, however, this is not a bet where you push all your chips into the middle of the table. It’s not the ultimate betting situation, but neither is it a terrible betting situation.
That being said, betting on Djokovic +5.5 games is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: Djokovic +5.5 games @1.81 @1xbet
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images
