Expect plenty of exciting tennis on day four at ATP Indian Wells with a number of entertaining matches on the slate in California. As ever, we here at LWOT will be offering our predictions for every match on the schedule, including Novak Djokovic vs Botic van de Zandschulp and Carlos Alcaraz vs Quentin Halys. But who will advance?
ATP Indian Wells Day 4 Predictions
Ben Shelton vs Mariano Navone
Head-to-head: Shelton 1-0 Navone
This match is a clash of contrasting styles, with Ben Shelton’s explosive power meeting Mariano Navone’s gritty baseline game. Shelton’s booming serve and aggressive shot-making should give him the advantage on hard courts, especially in the high-bouncing conditions of Indian Wells. Navone, primarily a clay-court specialist, thrives in long rallies but may struggle to handle Shelton’s pace and ability to shorten points. Unless the Argentine can disrupt Shelton’s rhythm and extend rallies, the American should be in control and power his way to victory.
Prediction: Shelton in 2
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Francisco Cerundolo vs Mackenzie McDonald
Head-to-head: Cerundolo 2-0 McDonald
Francisco Cerundolo has shown flashes of brilliance this season but has struggled with consistency, particularly on hard courts, where his heavy topspin game can be less effective. Mackenzie McDonald, on the other hand, thrives in fast-paced baseline exchanges and has the movement to counter Cerundolo’s topspin-heavy shots, making the slower conditions at ATP Indian Wells a potential advantage for him. While Cerundolo has the higher ceiling, McDonald’s ability to absorb pace and his comfort on hard courts could make this a tricky matchup. If the American can stay aggressive and take time away from Cerundolo , he has a strong chance of coming through.
Prediction: McDonald in 3
Denis Shapovalov vs Adam Walton
Head-to-head: first meeting
Denis Shapovalov has started to regain his form with impressive runs in Dallas and Acapulco, showcasing his trademark shot-making and improved consistency. His aggressive baseline game should translate well to Indian Wells’ slower conditions, provided he maintains his patience and shot selection. Adam Walton, while a steady and disciplined competitor, lacks the weapons to consistently trouble Shapovalov if the Canadian is dialed in. If Shapovalov continues his recent level, he should have the firepower to control the match and advance with a solid win.
Prediction: Shapovalov in 2
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Jack Draper vs Joao Fonseca
Head-to-head: first meeting
This promises to be an entertaining match featuring two of the most exciting young talents on tour. Jack Draper has been in good form this season, building on his strong end to 2024, and his powerful lefty game should thrive in Indian Wells’ conditions, giving him the chance to dictate play. Fonseca, however, has been electrifying with his fearless shot-making and athleticism, making him a real threat despite his lack of experience at this level. If Draper can impose his physicality and stay composed under pressure, he has the edge, but expect Fonseca to bring the energy and make this a thrilling battle.
Prediction: Draper in 3
Main photo credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
