ATP Australian Open quarterfinals
Paul – Zverev: 21.01.2025 04:00 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Tommy Paul has won four of his last five matches. Tommy won the opening round match against O’Connell in five tight sets in Melbourne. Paul was a better player under pressure in the deciding fifth set, which is why he won the match. In the second round, Tommy defeated Nishikori after losing the first set 6-7. Kei was tired and only won four games in three sets after winning the first. In the third round, Paul defeated Baena in straight sets. Yesterday, in the 1/8-Finals, Tommy demolished Davidovich Fokina in straight sets, as we predicted. Last year in Melbourne, Tommy reached the third round, losing against Kecmanovic in five sets.
Alexander Zverev has won six straight matches. In his opening match here in Melbourne, Sascha defeated Pouille in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints and was solid under pressure. In the second round, Zverev demolished Pablo Martinez in straight sets. In the third round, Sascha defeated Fearnley in easy straight sets. Yesterday in the 1/8-Finals, Zverev lost the second set 2-6 against Humbert. Other than that, he was a better player than Humbert and won easily in four sets. Last year in Melbourne, Alexander was 2-0 up against Medvedev in the semifinals. Daniil turned the match around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Tommy is a dangerous player who can beat anyone when he plays his best tennis. He played at a high level this week, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Paul winning at least two sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tommy Paul +1.5 sets @+114 @FanDuel
Djokovic – Alcaraz: 21.01.2025 10:30 CEST
H2H: 4-4
Novak Djokovic has won four of his last five matches. In his opening Australian Open round, Novak defeated Basavareddy in four sets, as we predicted. After that, in the second round, Novak also won against Faria in four sets. In the third round, Machac had no answer for Novak’s game. Djokovic won in easy straight sets. In the fourth round, Lehecka had no answer for Novak’s game yesterday. Once again, Djokovic won in straight sets. Last year in Melbourne, Djokovic lost in the semifinals against Sinner in four sets.
Carlos Alcaraz has won four of his last five matches. Here in Melbourne, Carlos dominated against Shevchenko in the opening round, winning in easy straight sets. As we predicted, Carlos demolished Nishioka in straight sets in the second round. Alcaraz had a great 2024 season, winning two Grand Slam titles. In the third round, Alcaraz defeated Borges in four comfortable sets, as we had predicted. Yesterday against Draper in the 1/8-Finals, Carlos won the first two sets when Jack retired. Last year in Melbourne, Carlos reached the quarterfinals, losing against Zverev in four sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the favorite in this match, and we agree. Novak looked great in the last two matches but has yet to face a top-20 player. We believe that Alcaraz is a better player at this moment, and we expect him to dominate in this match.
That being said, Alcaraz winning 3-0 or 3-1 is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -1.5 sets @-110 @FanDuel
Main Photo Credit: Amber Searls-USA TODAY Sports
