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ATP Metz Final Prediction: Ugo Humbert vs Alexander Shevchenko

Ugo Humbert National Bank Open

We have reached the final at the ATP 250 event in Metz. Home favourite Ugo Humbert will battle Alexander Shevchenko for the title. Humbert is seeking to win a fourth ATP title, while Shevchenko is hoping to claim his miaden crown on the ATP Tour. As always, we at LWOT provide our prediction and analysis for the final. But which player do you think will triumph in Metz?

ATP Metz Final Prediction

Ugo Humbert vs Alexander Shevchenko

Head-to-head: First meeting

It is impressive how well both players have thrived in the conditions in Metz. The courts are very slow, yet each player has managed to use their aggressive style to hit through the court effectively. Humbert started as the favourite in each of his matches but his run is still impressive. The 25-year-old defeated Dominic Thiem in a high-quality encounter in his first match, put in a professional performance against Harold Mayot in the quarterfinal and then demolished a weary looking Fabio Fognini in the semifinal.

Shevchenko’s run to his maiden ATP final has been more surprising. His best results had previously come on faster surfaces but the 22-year-old has looked so comfortable in the conditions in Metz. The standout win was undoubtedly triumphing in straight sets against his compatriot and former Australian Open and US Open semifinalist Karen Khachanov but his other performances have also been strong throughout the week.

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The playing styles of both men are close to identical, with a heavy reliance on their powerful serves and forehands. This will come down to who can execute that style under the pressure of a final. Humbert is likely to have a slight edge in those circumstances. Although the Frenchman has enjoyed a solid season overall, this is still his first final in over two years and there will undoubtedly be some nerves. However, his previous experience is still likely to be an important factor.

Shevchenko’s level often fluctuates and it is hard to predict what to expect from him but the experience of a first final may mean Humbert is able to hold his nerve slightly better when it counts. A home crowd being present to roar him toward victory may be important as well.
Prediction: Humbert in 3

Main Photo Credit: Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

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