Main draw actions commences on Tuesday at the WTA Miami Open. There’s 12 first round matchups on offer, a busy day. Let’s take a look at some of the best bets of the day.
WTA Miami Best Bets March 22
Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Nuria Parrizas-Diaz
Haddad Maia and Parrizas-Diaz are seemingly evenly matched and that’s reflected in the odds. Look a little harder and I’d give a slightly stronger edge to Haddad Maia. Enough to suggest there’s some value with the Brazilian.
There’s a lot of similarities between these two, both extremely solid and consistent players. The difference is Haddad Maia has a more dynamic, versatile game. Haddad Maia has a stronger serve and is mentally tougher. Parrizas-Diaz showed extreme fragility in her last match against Shelby Rogers in Indian Wells where she lost from 5-1 up in the deciding set. I highly doubt the Spaniard responds with a win over such a tough opponent like Haddad Maia. The Brazilian is the better player and should get it done.
Beatriz Haddad Maia ML – 1 unit @ -125
Marta Kostyuk vs. Alison Van Uytvanck
A simple one. I want to fade Alison Van Uytvanck in this spot as a slight underdog against Marta Kostyuk. Van Uytvanck is overrated based on her strong indoor hard court form. This isn’t that. Kostyuk is the better player in these conditions, I’d have Kostyuk as the slightly stronger favourite, slight value with the Ukrainian.
Marta Kostyuk ML – 1 unit @ -128
Jasmine Paolini vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
Alexandrova is rated as the slight favourite over Paolini. I’d reverse that and make Paolini the slight favourite.
The Italian is coming off a good week in Indian Wells where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka on route the third round. The Italian is one spot off her career high ranking and has generally played some of her best tennis over the last 6-8 months. Meanwhile, Alexandrova has been struggling all season, she hasn’t won back-to-back matches this year. Alexandrova is dangerous when she’s on, but Paolini looks slightly more like to prevail based on recent form.
Jasmine Paolini ML – 1 unit @ +116
Magda Linette vs. Qinwen Zheng
Qinwen Zheng is a popular player on the rise. I think she’s slightly overrated at the moment in the markets, that was definitely the case last week in Indian Wells where she was the marginal favourite against Angelique Kerber but gave up a double break lead in the deciding set. This time she’s a fairly strong favourite against Magda Linette. Another solid, experienced counter-puncher that will give the 19-year-old a stern examination. Linette’s mediocre recent form doesn’t reflect her true level on a hard court. Worth a shot.
Magda Linette ML – 1 unit @ +167
Daria Saville vs. Greet Minnen
Daria Saville found some vintage form in Indian Wells last week as she went through qualifying all the way to the fourth round. I’d rate Saville as a stronger favourite over Minnen given the Aussie’s recent form and a favourable matchup with the Belgian.
Saville claimed notable wins over Shuai Zhang, Ons Jabeur and Elise Mertens in Indian Wells, players that are all a class above Minnen. Saville defeated Minnen late last year during a Billie Jean King Cup tie, in what was her first match back on tour over half a season. If Saville could defeat Minnen off such a limited preparation, there’s no reason why she won’t beat her in this spot off a great preparation. Saville’s consistency and versatility makes her a very bad matchup for Minnen.
Daria Saville – 2 units @ -175
Recommended selections are based on a 5 unit betting system where 1 unit is a minimum stake, and 5 units is the maximum stake.
This article is intended for entertainment purposes only. LWOS makes no guarantees that the picks will win. Only gamble where it is legal to do so, and only amounts you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Main Photo from Getty.