The action is heating up in the Californian desert as second round action continues at the BNP Paribas Open on Saturday. Let’s take a look at some of today’s Indian Wells Best Bets. Another busy day with a heap of matches on offer, there’s a few big underdogs that stand out as potential upsets and trusty competitor who should get the job done.
Indian Wells Best Bets March 12
(9) Ons Jabeur vs. (Q) Daria Saville
Daria Saville is showing some vintage form in Indian Wells. The Aussie came through qualifying with wins over Kamilla Rakhimova 7-5 6-3 and Magdalena Frech 6-0 3-6 6-3 before defeating Shuai Zhang 6-3 6-2 in the first round of the main draw. With three solid wins under her belt, Saville looms as a threat to a potentially rusty Ons Jabeur.
The odds suggest this will be a straightforward win for Jabeur, but I don’t think that will be the case. Saville is playing well enough to at least make this very competitive. This isn’t the best matchup for Jabeur on a slow surface, Saville’s strengths counteract some of Jabeur’s biggest strengths. Most notably, Jabeur’s versatility won’t be as problematic for Saville as it is for other opponents. Saville’s speed will make it tough for Jabeur to successfully use drop shots and Saville has variety of her own to match Jabeur’s variety.
Daria Saville ML – 0.5 units @ +349
Total games over 18.5 – 1 unit @ -139
(12) Cameron Norrie vs. Pedro Martinez
Pedro Martinez is flying under the radar. The Spaniard just won win first tour level title in Santiago and made a decent start in Indian Wells with a 6-4 7-5 win over Joao Sousa. Few would give Martinez much of a chance against defending champion Cameron Norrie, but I do. Here’s why.
The slow, heavy conditions in Indian Wells definitely suit the game of Pedro Martinez. This matchup will feature a lot of long rallies, Martinez is confident enough to at least make this very competitive. Norrie doesn’t give much away, but he won’t blow Martinez off the court. If Martinez is disciplined there’s no reason why he can’t push for an upset win. Norrie is under a lot of pressure in this match, his first time defending such a big title, that could work against him. Value with the Spaniard.
Pedro Martinez ML – 0.5 units @ +381
Total games over 19.5 – 1 unit @ -144
(32) Sara Sorribes Tormo vs. (Q) Kaja Juvan
Sorribes Tormo is barely favoured to defeat Kaja Juvan, I’d rate Sorribes Tormo as a fairly solid favourite in this matchup in slow, heavy conditions. Sorribes Tormo hasn’t been at her very best of late but did show some decent signs in her last few events with back-to-back quarterfinal appearances in Guadalajara and Monterrey.
Juvan has shown some decent signs of her own of late, but I don’t think she will enjoy this matchup. Juvan plays better on a quick surface and looks to be outclassed in this matchup. I don’t think Juvan has the firepower to consistently overpower Sorribes Tormo in these conditions, and I doubt she will outlast her from the back of the court. This means Sorribes Tormo is more likely to win than the odds suggest. Value with the Spaniard.
Sara Sorribes Tormo ML – 2 units @ -108
Recommended selections are based on a 5 unit betting system where 1 unit is a minimum stake, and 5 units is the maximum stake.
This article is intended for entertainment purposes only. LWOS makes no guarantees that the picks will win. Only gamble where it is legal to do so, and only amounts you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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