The 2020 Nitto ATP Finals’ exciting lineup features 2 newcomers, 3 Grand Slam champions, and 3 past ATP Finals singles champions. And the groups are set, so here’s my prediction on which player will hoist the trophy in London at the end of the week!
Group Tokyo 1970
1) Novak Djokovic
Best Result: Champion (2008, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015)
Best Result(s): Champion (Australian Open, Dubai, Cincinnati, Rome)
4) Daniil Medvedev
Best Result: RR (2019)
Best Result: Champion (Paris Masters)
5) Alexander Zverev
Best Result: Champion(2018)
Best Result(s): Champion (2x- Cologne Indoors, Cologne Championship); Finalist (U.S. Open)
8) Diego Schwartzman
Best Result(s): Finalist (Rome, Cordoba, Cologne); Semifinalist (Roland Garros)
Novak Djokovic arrives in London looking for his 6th ATP Finals singles title, having already clinched the World No.1 year-end ranking for the sixth time in his career https://www.atptour.com/en/news/djokovic-clinches-2020-year-end-no-1-fedex-atp-rankings .
Djokovic has a 12-4 combined head-to-head record against the rest of his group, and having lost just 3 matches all year (1 of those due to a default https://www.tennis.com/pro-game/2020/09/novak-djokovic-defaulted-us-open-after-hitting-line-judge-wball/90545/ ), it seems likely Djokovic will once again bring some of his best tennis on the big stage and advance to the semifinals.
Who will join him from this Group Tokyo 1970 is more of a mystery, however.
Alexander Zverev won this title back in 2018, but comes into London this year with reports of a potential thigh injury, whereas Diego Schwartzman is making his ATP Finals debut, but comes in with a 2-11 record against the rest of his group.
Look for Daniil Medvedev, fresh off of a title at the Paris Masters where he beat both Schwartzman and Zverev en route to the final https://www.espn.com/tennis/story/_/id/30278361/daniil-medvedev-rallies-alexander-zverev-win-paris-masters , to keep that momentum going and earn some of his first match wins at the ATP Finals, and a semifinals birth as well.
Semifinalists: 1) Djokovic, 4) Medvedev
Group London 2020
2) Rafael Nadal
Best Result: Finalist(2010, 2013)
Best Result: Champion (Roland Garros, Acapulco)
3) Dominic Thiem
Best Result: Finalist(2019)
Best Result(s): Champion(U.S. Open)
6) Stefanos Tsitsipas
Best Result: Champion(2019)
Best Result: Champion (Marseille); Finalist (Dubai, Hamburg)
7) Andrey Rublev
Best Result: Champion (Qatar, Adelaide, Hamburg, St. Petersburg, Vienna)
The Group London 2020 is full of intrigue, lead by 2) Rafael Nadal who is looking for his first career title at the ATP Finals.
In order to advance out of the group Nadal will have to battle against U.S. Open champion Dominic Thiem, last year’s ATP Finals winner Stefanos Tsitsipas https://www.atptour.com/en/news/thiem-tsitsipas-nitto-atp-finals-2019-sunday-final, and ATP Finals debutante Andrey Rublev, who has won a tour-leading 5 titles this 2020 season https://www.atptour.com/en/news/rublev-sonego-vienna-2020-singles-final .
Nadal holds a combined 15-6 head-to-head record against the players in his group, and in this shortened 2020 season it’s likely we’ll see a fresher Nadal at this tournament than in past years, boding well for his chances to reach the semifinals for the first time since 2015.
But watch out for Rublev to have a run like Tsitsipas did in his ATP Finals debut last year. The 23-year-old Russian is coming off winning two indoor hard-court titles at St. Petersburg and Vienna in the past month, and has an incredible 83.33% winning percentage on the year.
Semifinalists: 7) Rublev, 2) Nadal
1) Djokovic def. 2) Nadal
4) Medvedev def. 7) Rublev
1) Djokovic def. 4) Medvedev