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ATP Bavarian International Final Prediction – Matteo Berrettini vs Christian Garin

ATP Bavarian International Final Prediction

In a battle between two of the ATP tour’s in-form men, Italy’s Matteo Berrettini will take on Christian Garin of Chile for the Bavarian International title. Berrettini is enjoying surely the most fruitful spell of his professional career after bulldozing his way to the Hungarian Open title last week. Garin, meanwhile, achieved a major breakthrough earlier this year by claiming the title in Houston. But who will come out on top in this one?

It will be the first head-to-head meeting between the pair, who are separated by just six weeks in age. But Berrettini nonetheless holds a narrow advantage in terms of experience, having won two tour-level titles to Garin’s one. He has also played 63 matches on tour, winning 34 of them. Garin has a tour-level record of 28-22. However, his record so far this year is better than Berrettini’s, with the Chilean having gone 18-6 compared with Berrettini who has compiled a 15-9 record.

ATP Bavarian International Final Prediction

Berrettini began his Bavarian International campaign with a 7-6 6-3 win over Denis Istomin of Uzbekistan. He backed that up by dismissing the challenge of Denis Kudla in straight sets, 7-5 6-3, before rallying past Germany’s Philipp Kohlschreiber, 4-6 7-5 6-4, to reach the semifinals. There he faced Roberto Bautista Agut in a rain-delayed rematch of their Swiss Open final clash last season. Berrettini won that match in Gstaad and he won again in Munich, scoring a dominant 6-4 6-2 victory.

Garin opened his tournament with a comprehensive 6-4 6-2 win over Yannick Maden of Germany to set up a second-round clash with sixth seed Diego Schwartzman. It has proved a difficult season for the Argentine and Garin added to his problems with a 6-1 7-5 win. He backed that up by edging past top seed and defending champion Alexander Zverev in a three-set thriller, saving match points en route to a 6-4 5-7 6-4 win. He then crushed Marco Cecchinato, seeded third, 6-2 6-4 to reach the final.

Both Berrettini and Garin can do real damage when given time on the ball, although it is unquestionably the Italian who is the bigger hitter of the pair. His best shot is his forehand and Garin will need to be wary of it. Berrettini also moves well for a man of his size. But he does not cover the court as well as Garin. The Chilean also owns a fine forehand in his own right, with which he spreads the court excellently. Perhaps crucially, he will also be the fresher of the two with Berrettini having to pull double duty today. Expect Garin to be one challenge too far.

Prediction: Garin in three

Main photo:
Embed from Getty Images

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