The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-finals continue to offer solid early-round value. Shapovalov and Tabilo look well-positioned to control their matches against out-of-form opponents, while Mannarino stands out as an underdog with experience and a favourable matchup.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-Finals
Shapovalov – Van de Zandschulp: 18.03.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Denis Shapovalov has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Sinner in the third round in straight sets. He was the semifinalist here in 2019.
Botic van de Zandschulp has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Cerundolo J.M in the opening round in three sets. He has never made it past the fourth round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Shapovalov is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He played well two weeks ago in Indian Wells. If he serves well, Shapovalov will win comfortably, considering his current form.
That being said, Shapovalov covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Denis Shapovalov -2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Bergs – Brooksby: 18.03.2026 19:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Zizou Bergs has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Paul in the second round in straight sets. Last season in Miami, Bergs lost to Berrettini in the third round in straight sets.
Jenson Brooksby has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Tiafoe in the second round in straight sets. Brooksby lost to Safiullin in Miami last season in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Brooksby is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He has played well in Dubai and has some momentum coming into this matchup. Exactly in Dubai, Brooksby defeated Bergs in straight sets easily under similar conditions. We expect a similar outcome tonight.
That being said, Brooksby winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jenson Brooksby winning @1.73 @bet365
Zhang – Mannarino: 18.03.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Zhizhen Zhang has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Cap Cana, Zhang failed to qualify for the main draw tournament. He has never made it past the opening round here.
Adrian Mannarino has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Phoenix, Mannarino lost to Harris in the quarterfinals in three tight sets. Last season in Miami, the Frenchman lost to Quinn in the qualifying tournament, three tight sets to two.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Mannarino is in solid form. On the other hand, Zhang has been struggling for the past few weeks. We expect Mannarino’s experience to prevail in this match.
That being said, Mannarino winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Adrian Mannarino winning @2.10 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
