The ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-finals continue with clear form-based angles. Mpetshi Perricard should benefit from faster conditions, Navone enters with strong momentum after a title run, and Tsitsipas has the experience edge to handle a qualifier comfortably.
ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-Finals
Mpetshi Perricard – Ugo Carabelli: 18.03.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Majchrzak in the opening round in three sets. Last season in Miami, the Frenchman lost to Thompson in the second round.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has lost four of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Nakashima in the second round in straight sets. Last season in Miami, the Argentine lost to Djokovic in the third round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Mpetshi Perricard is the slight favourite in this matchup and we agree. He is a solid hard-court player. On the other hand, Ugo Carabelli rarely succeeded on fast courts. We believe the Frenchman will be a better player under these conditions.
That being said, Mpetshi Perricard winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard winning @1.53 @bet365
Basilashvili – Navone: 18.03.2026 20:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Nikoloz Basilashvili has won four of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Basilashvili qualified for the main draw tournament, winning both qualifying matches in straight sets. Last week in Phoenix, Basilashvili lost to Moutet in the quarterfinals in straight sets.
Mariano Navone has won five straight matches. Last week in Cap Cana, Navone won the Challenger tournament, defeating Bellucci in the final in straight sets. Last season in Miami, Navone lost to Sonego in the opening round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Navone is the slight favourite in this matchup and we agree. He is in great form after winning the Challenger tournament. We expect him to be confident coming into this match and win.
That being said, Navone winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Mariano Navone winning @1.57 @bet365
Tsitsipas – Fery: 19.03.2026 00:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Stefanos Tsitsipas has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Indian Wells, where he lost to Shapovalov in the opening round in three sets.
Arthur Fery has won three of his last five matches. This week in Miami, Fery qualified for the main draw tournament, winning both qualifying matches in three tight sets. In the final qualifying round, the Brit defeated Bu in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Tsitsipas is the favourite in this matchup and we agree. He has way more experience at the Masters 1000 level than Fery. On the other hand, the Brit is a Challenger tour player and has no weapons to be a better player.
That being said, Tsitsipas covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Stefanos Tsitsipas -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images
