The ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-finals continue with several interesting matchups. Fritz begins his campaign against Fearnley, Humbert faces rising American Michelsen, while in-form Korda takes on top-10 star de Minaur. With rankings, form, and head-to-head history in play, there are some solid betting angles to explore.
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-Finals
Fearnley – Fritz: 08.03.2026 03:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jacob Fearnley has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Fearnley defeated Dzumhur in the opening round in straight sets. Besides losing his serve once, the Brit dominated throughout the match.
Taylor Fritz has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Delray Beach, where he lost to Paul in the quarterfinals in straight sets. He was the champion here in 2022.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fritz is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Fritz is in solid form and enjoys playing in Indian Wells. On the other hand, Fearnley struggled in the past few weeks at the Challenger Tour level.
That being said, Fritz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Taylor Fritz -4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Humbert – Michelsen: 08.03.2026 02:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Ugo Humbert has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Dubai, Humbert lost to Rublev in the 1/8-Finals in three tight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, the Frenchman lost to Rune in the third round in three tight sets.
Alex Michelsen has won three of his last five matches. The American defeated Merida Aguilar in the opening round this week in Indian Wells in straight sets. He trailed in the second set, but turned it around.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Humbert is a better and more experienced player at the Masters 1000 level. In their only head-to-head meeting, Humbert defeated Michelsen in straight sets on a hard court. We expect a similar outcome tonight as well.
That being said, Humbert winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert winning @1.80 @bet365
Korda – De Minaur: 07.03.2026 23:00 CEST
H2H: 1-3
Sebastian Korda has won six straight matches. This week in Indian Wells, Korda defeated Comesana in the opening round in straight sets comfortably. The American has never made it past the third round here.
Alex de Minaur has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Acapulco, Kypson upset him in the opening round in three tight sets. Last season in Indian Wells, de Minaur lost to Cerundolo in the fourth round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, de Minaur is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is number 6 in the world and leads 3-1 in head-to-head meetings against Korda. We expect him to be a better player tonight.
That being said, de Minaur winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur winning @1.57 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
