The ATP 500 Dubai semifinals are set to deliver two high-level clashes as the tournament heads into its final stretch on February 27. With in-form contenders and strong head-to-head storylines, both matchups promise plenty of intensity. Daniil Medvedev looks to continue his dominance over Felix Auger-Aliassime, while Andrey Rublev aims to keep his perfect record against Tallon Griekspoor intact. With a place in the final on the line, expect focused performances and big-hitting tennis under the Dubai lights.
ATP 500 Dubai semifinals
Auger-Aliassime – Medvedev: 27.02.2026 14:00 CEST
H2H: 2-7
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won four of his last five matches. This week in Dubai, the Canadian defeated Zhang in the opening round in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving all four breakpoints. In the second round, the Canadian defeated Mpetshi Perricard in straight sets. He trailed 1-4 in the opening set, but turned it around. Today in the quarterfinals, he defeated Lehecka in straight sets. Once again, Auger-Aliassime saved all breakpoints.
Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. He was the champion here in 2023. This week, Medvedev defeated Shang in the opening round in straight sets. In the second round, Medvedev demolished Wawrinka in straight sets. Today in the quarterfinals, Medvedev demolished Brooksby in straight sets, not offering any breakpoints. Last season, the Russian lost to Griekspoor in the quarterfinals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Medvedev leads 7-2 in head-to-head meetings with Auger-Aliassime. He is in great form and dominated Brooksby in the quarterfinals. We expect him to be a better player tomorrow.
That being said, Medvedev winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Daniil Medvedev winning @1.73 @bet365
Rublev – Griekspoor: 27.02.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 3-0
Andrey Rublev has won four of his last five matches. This week in Dubai, Rublev won the opening match against Royer in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints. In the second round, Rublev defeated Humbert in three tight sets. He offered and saved four breakpoints. Today in the quarterfinals, Rublev demolished Rinderknech in straight sets.
Tallon Griekspoor has won four of his last five matches. This week in Dubai, Griekspoor won the opening round against Virtanen in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints throughout the match. In the second round, the Dutchman upset Bublik in straight sets. He offered and saved three breakpoints. Today in the quarterfinals, Griekspoor defeated Mensik in three tight sets. Besides losing his serve once, he dominated on his serve.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Rublev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings against Griekspoor and has dominated in the quarterfinals. We expect him to prolong that winning streak.
That being said, Rublev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Andrey Rublev -2.5 games handicap @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
