ATP 250 Montpellier 1/16-Finals
Basilashvili – Nardi: 04.02.2026 Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Nikoloz Basilashvili has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Quimper, Basilashvili lost to Faurel in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. Last season in Montpellier, Basilashvili reached the quarterfinals before retiring mid-match against Rublev.
Luca Nardi has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Manama, Nardi reached the Challenger final, where he lost to Jacquet in three tight sets. He has never made it past the opening round here. The Italian hopes for a solid result this week to get into the top 100 in the rankings.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Nardi is in better form than Basilashvili. He had a solid run last week in Manama under similar conditions. On the other hand, Basilashvili had several tough losses against low-ranked players in the past few weeks.
That being said, Nardi winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Luca Nardi winning @1.91 @bet365
Humbert – Van de Zandschulp: 03.02.2026 16:00 CEST
H2H: 5-0
Ugo Humbert has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Shelton in the opening round in straight sets. He is the fifth seed this week in Montpellier.
Botic van de Zandschulp has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Djokovic in the third round in straight sets. Last season in Montpellier, the Dutchman lost to Griekspoor in the opening round in straight sets. He has never made it past the opening round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Humbert is the favourite in this matchup and we agree. He is one of the best indoor hard-court players. The Frenchman leads 5-0 in head-to-head meetings against van de Zandschulp, and we expect him to prolong that winning streak.
That being said, Humbert covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Kecmanovic – Carreno-Busta: 03.02.2026 12:30 CEST
H2H: 2-0
Miomir Kecmanovic has lost four straight matches. So far this season, Kecmanovic has not had any competitive wins. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Etcheverry in the opening round in five tight sets.
Pablo Carreno-Busta has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he lost to Mensik in the opening round in five tight sets. He has never made it past the opening round here. Carreno-Busta lost to Kovacevic in the qualifying tournament last season.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Kecmanovic is a better indoor-hard-court player than Carreno-Busta. The Spaniard needs more time to prepare for his ground strokes. Kecmanovic leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings, and we expect him to get the third win over the Spaniard as well.
That being said, Kecmanovic winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Miomir Kecmanovic winning @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports
