ATP US Open 1/32-Finals
Fonseca – Machac: 27.08.2025 18:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Joao Fonseca has won three of his last five matches. This will be his debut campaign in the main draw of the US Open. The Brazilian failed to qualify for the main draw at the previous season’s event in New York. In the opening main draw round, Fonseca defeated Kecmanovic in straight sets.
Tomas Machac has lost three of his last five matches. This week in New York, Machac defeated Nardi in the opening round in straight sets. He only dropped five games in three sets and dominated throughout. Machac was great under pressure, saving both breakpoints he offered.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Machac showed better tennis in the opening round, and this improvement was evident throughout the season as well. On the other hand, Fonseca tends to fumble under pressure. Machac’s experience will prevail in this match.
That being said, Machac winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tomas Machac winning @1.80 @bet365
Harris – Fritz: 27.08.2025 19:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Lloyd Harris has won four of his last five matches. This week at the US Open, Harris qualified for the main draw tournament, whilst losing only one set in three qualifying matches. In the final qualifying round, Harris defeated Merida Aquilar in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, Harris defeated Baez in straight sets.
Taylor Fritz has won three of his last five matches. This week in New York, Fritz defeated Nava in straight sets in the opening round. He saved all four breakpoints he offered. The American is one of the biggest favourites to win the title at the US Open this season.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Harris is the heavy underdog, but we disagree to some extent. He has a heavy serve and enjoys playing on fast courts. We expect him to enter this match without any pressure. Harris won the last head-to-head encounter against Fritz. We expect him to serve well and keep this match close.
That being said, Harris covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Lloyd Harris +6.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Tiafoe – Damm: 27.08.2025 21:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Frances Tiafoe has won three of his last five matches. This week in New York, the American won the opening round against Nishioka in three tight sets. Last season in New York, Tiafoe lost to Fritz in the semifinals in a five-set match.
Martin Damm has won four of his last five matches. This week at the US Open, Damm qualified for the main draw tournament by winning all three matches in straight sets. In the opening main draw round, Damm defeated Blanch in straight sets. He saved all three breakpoints.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Damm is the heavy underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Tiafoe was far away from his level in the opening round. On the other hand, Damm dominated this week, especially on his serve. We expect him to keep this match close.
That being said, Damm covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Martin Damm +5.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Aaron Doster-Imagn Images
