Day 3 action at the ATP Toronto National Bank Open is where the tournament’s top seeded players like Lorenzo Musetti start participating in the action. We have predictions for every Tuesday match, will there be upsets, or will everything go as expected?
ATP Toronto Day 3 Predictions
Tomas Machac vs Reilly Opelka
Head–to–Head: Machac 2 vs 0 Opelka
Tomas Machac has quietly built momentum on the tour this season, showing glimpses of top-tier potential with his athleticism and fluidity, especially on hard courts. Opelka, on the other hand, has done well working his way back from a lengthy injury layoff thanks to one of the most unreturnable serves in the game.
This match may hinge on two factors: Opelka’s serve percentage and Macháč’s ability to neutralise it with sharp returns and quick transitions. If Macháč can hold his service and extend rallies, he has a clear path to victory. Macháč enters with better form and match fitness, and that might just tip the balance. Expect a tight encounter, but Macháč has the edge in endurance and variety.
Prediction: Machac in 3
Ugo Humbert vs Emilio Nava
Head–to–Head: First Meeting
Emilio Nava delivered an impressive performance to upset Zizou Bergs in the opening round of the Canadian Open in straight sets. The American has experienced a solid run of form during his regional swing, having also reached the quarter-finals in Los Cabos.
He is now scheduled to compete against Ugo Humbert, who has not played since his dramatic first-round loss to Gael Monfils at Wimbledon. Humbert does possess a hardcourt title this season, although it was won indoors in Marseille back in mid-February. The Frenchman may be rusty after his time away from the court, but he should have too much firepower for Nava to neutralise.
Prediction: Humbert in 2
Lorenzo Musetti vs James Duckworth
Head–to–Head: Musetti 0 vs 1 Duckworth
Lorenzo Musetti has shown flashes of brilliance on hard courts this season, but consistency remains a lingering question. Though more naturally suited to clay, his creativity and shot-making make him a threat when he’s locked in, even on quicker surfaces, and he enters Toronto needing a deep run to solidify his top-30 presence and gain momentum ahead of the US Open swing.
Duckworth, on the other hand, is a seasoned competitor with a more direct and aggressive approach, who typically thrives on quicker surfaces and has the kind of serve-plus-one game that can trouble more flamboyant, rhythm-based players like Musetti. That said, the Australian’s inconsistency and vulnerability in longer rallies may leave him exposed. While he does have the tools to challenge, Musetti’s higher ceiling and ability to adapt across surfaces should give him the slight upper hand in a tight contest.
Prediction: Musetti in 3.
Francisco Cerundolo vs Jaume Munar
Head–to–Head: Rune 0 vs 1 Mpetshi Perricard
Francisco Cerúndolo arrives in Toronto with impressive improvement on hard courts, making the quarter-finals at both Indian Wells and Miami. His hard‑court record this year is strong — roughly 8–4, including wins over accomplished talents like Alex de Minaur, Tommy Paul and Casper Ruud.
Jaume Munar, ranked around the world No. 48, started his tournament campaign in Toronto with a commanding win over Canadian Dan Martin, dropping just three games and lifting his 2025 hard‑court record to around 10–6. Though more naturally suited to clay, Munar has shown some results on hard courts this season too, including semi-final runs in Hong Kong and Dallas
Their head‑to‑head record favours Cerúndolo 3–1, but it’s important to note that all four prior meetings were on clay, with no previous hard‑court matchups between them.
On the fast outdoor hard courts of Toronto, Cerúndolo seems to hold the edge. His higher ranking, recent form on the surface, and deeper runs at higher‑level tournaments undercut Munar’s momentum. However, Munar’s attacking baseline game and recent confidence could make a competitive opening set and entire match.
Prediction: Munar in 3.
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
