ATP Wimbledon 1/16-Finals
Bellucci – Norrie: 04.07.2025 15:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Mattia Bellucci has won four of his last five matches. This week at Wimbledon, Bellucci won the opening round against Crawford in four tight sets after losing the opening set 6-7. In the second round, the Italian upset Lehecka in straight sets. He was great under pressure, saving six out of seven breakpoints. Last season at Wimbledon, Bellucci lost against Shelton in the opening round in five tight sets.
Cameron Norrie has lost three of his last five matches. This week at Wimbledon, the Brit won the opening round against Bautista-Agut in four tight sets. He trailed 3-5 in the fourth set but turned it around. Norrie upset Tiafoe in the second round. After losing the opening set 4-6, the Brit stepped up his level and turned the match around. Last season at Wimbledon, Norrie lost to Zverev in the third round in a tight straight sets match.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Norrie is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He has way more experience than Bellucci at the Grand Slam level. The Brit had two tough opponents and dominated in both matches. With the crowd´s help, we believe Norrie will win tomorrow.
That being said, Norrie winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Cameron Norrie winning @1.62 @bet365
Struff – Alcaraz: 04.07.2025 16:30 CEST
H2H: 1-3
Jan-Lennard Struff has lost three of his last five matches. This week at Wimbledon, the German defeated Misolic in the opening round in four sets. He served great, offering only one breakpoint throughout the match. In the second round, the German upset Auger-Aliassime in four tight sets. After losing the opening set 3-6, Struff turned the match around. He was solid under pressure, saving ten out of thirteen breakpoints. Last season at Wimbledon, Struff lost against Medvedev in four tight sets.
Carlos Alcaraz has won twenty straight matches. After winning the French Open, the Spaniard played only one preparation tournament for Wimbledon. Two weeks ago in London, Alcaraz won the title at the Queen’s Club, defeating Lehecka in the final in three tight sets. This week at Wimbledon, the Spaniard defeated Fognini in the opening round in five tight sets. After playing for over four hours, Alcaraz won the deciding set 6-1. In the second round, the Spaniard demolished Tarvet in straight sets. He trailed 0-2 in the second set but turned it around. He is the defending champion at Wimbledon. Last season, Alcaraz defeated Djokovic in the final in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the favourite in this matchup, and we partially agree. However, Struff served great in both matches so far. When he serves well, Struff is a dangerous opponent on grass. He has already defeated Alcaraz once at the Grand Slam level. We expect him to play without any pressure and keep this match close.
That being said, Struff covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jan-Lennard Struff +8.5 games handicap @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
