ATP Wimbledon 1/64-Finals
De Minaur – Carballes Baena: 01.07.2025 12:00 CEST
H2H: 3-0
Alex de Minaur has lost three of his last five matches. Last week, in Boodles, de Minaur participated in an exhibition tournament, winning and losing one match. Last season, the Australian withdrew from his quarterfinal clash against Djokovic, which has also been his biggest result at Wimbledon.
Roberto Carballes Baena has lost three straight matches. His last match was in Rome, where he retired mid-match against Ofner. His last grass court match was at Wimbledon last season when he lost against Zverev in the opening round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, de Minaur is the big favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Carballes Baena never succeeded on grass courts. He was injured for the last two months. On the other hand, de Minaur is one of the best grass-court players in the draw. We expect him to dominate and win easily.
That being said, de Minaur covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex de Minaur -10.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Michelsen – Kecmanovic: 01.07.2025 12:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Alex Michelsen has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Mallorca, the American lost against Moutet in the semifinals in straight sets. This will be his second appearance at Wimbledon. Last season, he lost against Harris in the opening round in five tight sets.
Miomir Kecmanovic has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Eastbourne, the Serb lost against Evans in the opening round in three tight sets. This will be his seventh appearance at Wimbledon. Last season, Kecmanovic lost in the third round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Michelsen is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a better grass-court player than Kecmanovic and plays his best tennis this season. We expect Michelsen to be a better player tomorrow and win easily.
That being said, Michelsen covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex Michelsen -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Sinner – Nardi: 01.07.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jannik Sinner has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Halle, where he lost against Bublik in the opening round in three tight sets. This will be his sixth appearance at Wimbledon. Last season, the Italian lost against Medvedev in the quarterfinals. He has never made it past the semifinals here.
Luca Nardi has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Eastbourne, Nardi lost in the opening qualifying round against Harris in straight sets. Last season at Wimbledon, the Italian lost in the opening round against Etcheverry in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Sinner is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is one of the biggest favourites to win the title at Wimbledon this season. Nardi never succeeded on grass courts. We expect Sinner to dominate from the start until the end.
That being said, Sinner covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jannik Sinner -9.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Peter van den Berg-USA TODAY Sports
