ATP 250 Mallorca 1/16-Finals
Martinez – Moutet: Time TBA
H2H: 2-1
Pedro Martinez has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Halle, Martinez lost in the opening round against Etcheverry in straight sets. So far this season, the Spaniard has played only one grass-court match. His last win on grass was in 2022. He never succeeded on grass courts.
Corentin Moutet has won three of his last five matches. In three sets last week in London, Moutet lost against Fearnley in the 1/8-Finals. His previous appearance in Mallorca was in 2023 when he lost against Mannarino in the quarterfinals in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Moutet is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Martinez struggles on grass and has barely played any matches this season. On the other hand, Moutet played well last week in London and is a better grass-court player than Martinez. We expect him to dominate from the start until the end.
That being said, Moutet covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Corentin Moutet -4.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Muller – Safiullin: Time TBA
H2H: 0-2
Alexandre Muller has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Halle, He lost against Bublik in the opening round in straight sets, his only match on grass this season. The Frenchman has never succeeded on grass. This will be his debut campaign in Mallorca.
Roman Safiullin has lost six straight matches. His last win was in April, over two months ago. Last week in Halle, Safiullin failed to qualify for the main draw tournament, losing against Engel in the opening qualifying round. His previous appearance in Mallorca was in 2023 when he lost against Harris in the 1/8-Finals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Safiullin is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Although he is in terrible form, he is still a better grass-court player than Muller. He has all the weapons to dominate this match against Muller, and we expect him to win easily.
That being said, Safiullin winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Roman Safiullin winning @1.67 @bet365
Tien – Engel: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Learner Tien has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Halle, Tien failed to qualify for the main draw tournament, losing against Jarry in the opening qualifying round. This will be his debut campaign in Mallorca.
Justin Engel has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Halle, Engel failed to qualify for the main draw tournament, losing against Ofner in the final qualifying round. This week in Mallorca, the German has been granted a wild card.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Tien is the slight favourite in this matchup, but we disagree. Engel is one of the most considerable upcoming talents. He played well last week in Halle and the week before in Stuttgart. We expect him to be confident and win against Tien, who has not shown much so far on grass.
That being said, Engel winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Justin Engel winning @2.20 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports
