ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/32-Finals
Kopriva – Baez: 09.05.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-1
Vit Kopriva has won four of his last five matches. This week in Rome, he qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, he easily won against Halys in straight sets.
Sebastian Baez has lost four of his last five matches. His last match was in Madrid, where he lost against Dzumhur in the opening round. Last season in Rome, the Argentine lost in the fourth round against Hurkacz in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Baez is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is one of the best clay-court players in the lower part of the draw. We expect him to be a better player throughout the match and win comfortably.
That being said, Baez winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Baez winning 2-0 @2.20 @bet365
Lajovic – Alcaraz: 09.05.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-4
Dusan Lajovic has won three of his last five matches. This week in Rome, Lajovic qualified for the main draw tournament. In the opening main draw round, the Serb won against Nishioka in straight sets. He trailed 2-4 in the opening set but turned it around.
Carlos Alcaraz has won four of his last five matches. His last match was in Barcelona, where he lost against Rune in the final. This will be his second appearance in Rome. In his debut campaign, the Spaniard lost against Marozsan in the third round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He leads 2-0 in head-to-head meetings on clay against Lajovic. Alcaraz is hungry for success and will give his best to win the Masters 1000 title in Rome. Lajovic has a weak backhand, and we expect Alcaraz to dominate the rallies.
That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -5.5 games handicap @1.64 @bet365
Michelsen – Djere: 09.05.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Alex Michelsen has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Estoril, Michelsen won the Challenger Tour title, winning against Pellegrino in the final in straight sets. Last season in Rome, Michelsen lost in the opening round against Kotov.
Laslo Djere has won three of his last five matches. Two weeks ago in Madrid, the Serb withdrew from the second-round match against Medvedev. His last appearance in Rome happened in 2023 when he lost in the fourth round against Ruud in straight sets. This week in Rome, the Serb defeated Etcheverry in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Djere is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Michelsen is a great hard-court player. However, he never really succeeded on clay courts. On the other hand, Djere is a clay-court specialist, and we expect him to win easily tomorrow.
That being said, Djere winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Laslo Djere winning @1.57 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports