ATP Masters 1000 Rome 1/32-Finals
Draper – Darderi: 09.05.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Jack Draper has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Draper lost against Ruud in the final in three tight sets. Last season in Rome, the Brit lost against Medvedev in the second round in straight sets.
Luciano Darderi has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Aix en Provence, Darderi lost against Buse in the opening round of the Challenger tournament. This week in Rome, Darderi won the opening round match against Bu in straight sets. Last season in Rome, Darderi lost against Zverev in the third round in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Darderi is the big underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He is a clay-court specialist and has dominated in the opening round against Bu. On the other hand, Draper will be emotionally and physically exhausted after a long week in Madrid. We expect Darderi to keep this match tight.
That being said, Darderi covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Luciano Darderi +4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Fils – Griekspoor: 09.05.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 2-1
Arthur Fils has won three of his last five matches. His last match was in Madrid, where he lost in the opening round match against Comesana in straight sets. Last season in Rome, Muller stopped him in the second round.
Tallon Griekspoor has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Madrid, Griekspoor lost against Draper in the second round in straight sets. Griekspoor defeated Kecmanovic in three tight sets in the opening round this week in Rome. Last season in Rome, the Dutch lost against Passaro in the second round. He has never made it past the second round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Griekspoor is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Fils played far away from his best level last week in Madrid. On the other hand, Griekspoor played well in the opening round, and we expect him to keep this match tight.
That being said, Griekspoor covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tallon Griekspoor +2.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Humbert – Moutet: 09.05.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Ugo Humbert has lost four of his last five matches. His last match was in Madrid, where he lost against Muller in the opening round in three tight sets.
Corentin Moutet has lost three of his last five matches. This is his fifth appearance in Rome. Moutet won against Hijikata in three sets in the opening main draw round. Last season, Moutet lost against Djokovic in the second round in straight sets. He has never made it past the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Humbert is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is a better player than Moutet. The odds are so high on Humbert because he is in bad form. However, we expect him to win against Moutet easily.
That being said, Humbert winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert winning @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
