ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo 1/8-Finals
Draper – Davidovich Fokina: 10.04.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Jack Draper has won four of his last five matches. His last match before ATP Monte Carlo was in Miami, where he lost in the opening round against Mensik. A week before, Draper won the title in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the second round in Monte Carlo. This week, Draper demolished Giron in the opening round.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, the Spaniard won the opening round match against Shelton in three tight sets. In the second round, Davidovich Fokina defeated Etcheverry in straight sets today. Last season in Monte Carlo, the Spaniard lost in the opening round against Korda in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Davidovich Fokina is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Draper has never had remarkable results on clay or in Monte Carlo. We expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Davidovich Fokina covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina +3.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Rublev – Fils: 10.04.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Andrey Rublev has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Rublev won the opening-round match against Monfils in straight sets. He saved four set points in the second set. Last season in Monte Carlo, Rublev lost in the second round against Popyrin. He was the champion here in 2023.
Arthur Fils has won four of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Fils won the opening match against Griekspoor in three tight sets. Today, Cobolli had no answer for the Frenchman’s game in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Rublev enjoys playing in Monte Carlo and has already won the title there. We believe his experience will prevail in this match.
That being said, Rublev winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Andrey Rublev winning @2.00 @bet365
Altmaier – Alcaraz: 10.04.2025 12:30 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Daniel Altmaier has won four of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Altmaier qualified for the main draw tournament. The German upset Auger-Aliassime in straight sets in the opening main draw round. He trailed 1-4 in the opening set but turned it around. In the second round, Altmaier won against Gasquet in three sets.
Carlos Alcaraz has won three of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, Alcaraz won the opening match against Cerundolo in three sets. After losing the opening set 3-6, Alcaraz stepped up his level and lost only one game for the rest of the match.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Altmaier has no weapons for the Spaniard’s game. We expect Alcaraz to dominate in this match and win easily.
That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -5.5 games handicap @1.62 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
