ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo 1/32-Finals
Jarry – Dimitrov: 08.04.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 2-1
Nicolas Jarry has lost four of his last five matches. Last week in Bucharest, Jarry lost in the opening round against O’Connell in three tight sets. He had no remarkable results so far this season. Last season in Monte Carlo, Jarry lost in the first round to Etcheverry in straight sets.
Grigor Dimitrov has won four of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where he lost against Djokovic in the semifinals. His last clay court match was at the French Open last season when Sinner stopped him in the quarterfinals. Last season in Monte Carlo, Dimitrov lost in the third round against Rune.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Dimitrov is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He had enough time to prepare for the upcoming clay court season. Jarry is in terrible form, and we expect Dimitrov to win comfortably in straight sets.
That being said, Dimitrov winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Grigor Dimitrov winning 2-0 @1.83 @bet365
Popyrin – Humbert: 08.04.2025 11:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Alexei Popyrin has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where he lost to Safiullin in the opening round. His last clay court match was at the Olympic Games last season. Last season in Monte Carlo, Popyrin lost in the third round against de Minaur.
Ugo Humbert has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where he lost in the opening round against Fonseca in straight sets. His last clay court match was also at the Olympic Games. Last season in Monte Carlo, Humbert lost in the quarterfinals against Ruud.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Humbert is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Popyrin usually underperforms on clay courts. On the other hand, Humbert is a solid clay-court player, and we expect him to be a better player tomorrow.
That being said, Humbert winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Ugo Humbert winning @1.53 @bet365
Zverev – Berrettini: 07.04.2025 14:00 CEST
H2H: 4-2
Alexander Zverev has lost three of his last five matches. His last match was in Miami, where Fils upset him in the 1/8-Finals. His last clay court match was in Rio de Janeiro, where Comesana upset him in the quarterfinals. Last season in Monte Carlo, Zverev lost against Tsitsipas in the third round.
Matteo Berrettini has won four of his last five matches. This week in Monte Carlo, he won the opening-round match against Navone in straight sets. Last season in Monte Carlo, he lost in the opening-round match against Kecmanovic in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Zverev is the slight favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. He has struggled on clay this season so far. Berrettini played well in the opening round, and we expect him to put up a big fight and keep this match tight.
That being said, Berrettini covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Berrettini +2.5 games handicap @1.80 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
