ATP Masters 1000 Miami 1/64-Finals
Bu – Norrie: Time TBA
H2H: First meeting
Yunchaokete Bu has lost four of his last five matches. His most recent match was at Indian Wells, where he lost to Medvedev in straight sets. This will be his debut campaign in Miami. Bu spent most of his 2024 season at the Challenger Tour level.
Cameron Norrie has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Cap Cana, Norrie lost in the opening round to Lestienne in straight sets. Last week in Indian Wells, the Brit reached the third round, where he lost to Paul in straight sets. Last season in Miami, he lost in the third round to Medvedev.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookmakers, Norrie is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He played well in Indian Wells last week. On the other hand, it has been a disappointing season for Bu so far. We expect Norrie’s experience to be crucial in this matchup.
That being said, Norrie winning is a value bet.
Value Bet / Best Odds: Cameron Norrie to win @1.57 @bet365
Bublik – Baez: Time TBA
H2H: First meeting
Alexander Bublik has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Phoenix, Bublik finished as the runner-up, losing to Fonseca in the final. He was a quarterfinalist in Miami in 2021. Last season, Arnaldi upset Bublik in the second round.
Sebastian Baez has won three of his last five matches. His last match was at Indian Wells, where he lost to Gigante in the opening round. This will be his fourth appearance in Miami. He has never made it past the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookmakers, Bublik is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Baez is a clay-court specialist and has never had much success on hard courts. Bublik played well last week in Phoenix and will be confident going into this matchup. We expect him to be the better player and win.
That being said, Bublik winning is a value bet.
Value Bet / Best Odds: Alexander Bublik to win @1.57 @bet365
Hijikata – Medjedovic: Time TBA
H2H: First meeting
Rinky Hijikata has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Phoenix, Hijikata lost in the second round to Bublik in three tight sets. This will be his third appearance in Miami. Last season, Hijikata lost in the opening round to Van de Zandschulp in straight sets.
Hamad Medjedovic has won three of his last five matches. His most recent match was in Doha, where he withdrew from his 1/8-final match against Auger-Aliassime. This will be his debut campaign in Miami.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookmakers, Hijikata is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. Medjedovic has not played any competitive matches for the last few weeks due to injury. We are unsure if he will be fully fit. On the other hand, Hijikata is a solid hard-court player and will keep this match tight.
That being said, Hijikata covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value Bet / Best Odds: Rinky Hijikata +2.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
