ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/16-Finals
Griekspoor – Mpetshi Perricard: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Tallon Griekspoor has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, He won the opening-round match against Kecmanovic. In the second round, He upset Zverev in three tight sets. It is his fourth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the third round.
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Marozsan retired mid-match against Mpetshi Perricard in the opening round. The Frenchman is playing in Indian Wells for the first time.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Griekspoor is the slight favorite in this matchup, and we agree. He played extremely well against Zverev in the second round. On the other hand, Mpetshi Perricard struggled with his form for the last couple of weeks. We expect Griekspoor to win.
That being said, Griekspoor winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tallon Griekspoor winning @1.62 @bet365
Paul – Norrie: Time TBA
H2H: 2-3
Tommy Paul has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Paul demolished Boyer in the opening round match in just over an hour. It is his sixth appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, the American reached the semifinals, losing against Medvedev in three tight sets.
Cameron Norrie has won three of his last five matches. He turned the opening-round match against Lehecka in Indian Wells. The Brit won the title here in 2021. Last season, Norrie lost against Monfils in the third round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Paul is the favorite in this matchup, but we disagree. Norrie usually delivers his best tennis in Indian Wells. He defeated Lehecka in the opening round and played consistently throughout the match. We expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Norrie covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Cameron Norrie +3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Michelsen – Medvedev: Time TBA
H2H: first meeting
Alex Michelsen has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Michelsen comfortably won the opening-round match against Smith in straight sets. The young American has never made it past the third round here.
Daniil Medvedev has won three of his last five matches. Medvedev had a favorable opening round draw and defeated Bu in straight sets. Medvedev has played back-to-back finals in Indian Wells in 2023 and 2024. He hopes for a solid result this week to regain confidence.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Michelsen is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. The American is one of the biggest upcoming talents. He will have a packed crowd on his side against Medvedev. Michelsen has solid weapons for Medvedev’s game, and we expect a tight match that could go either way.
That being said, Michelsen covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Alex Michelsen +3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
