ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/16-Finals
Fils – Musetti: Time TBA
H2H: 0-1
Arthur Fils has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Fils won his opening-round match against Diallo in straight sets. Last season, the Frenchman had a debut campaign in Indian Wells, where Ruud stopped him in the third round.
Lorenzo Musetti has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, he won the opening-round match against Safiullin in three tight sets. It is his fifth appearance in Indian Wells. Last season, Rune stopped Musetti in the third round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Fils is a better hard-court player than Musetti. He dominated in the opening round match against Diallo, and we expect him to dominate and win easily.
That being said, Fils winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Arthur Fils winning @1.80 @bet365
Berrettini – Tsitsipas: Time TBA
H2H: 2-8
Matteo Berrettini has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, he won the opening-round match against O’Connell in straight sets. It is his sixth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the fourth round.
Stefanos Tsitsipas has won six straight matches. This week in Indian Wells, He won the opening-round match against Seyboth Wild in straight sets. He offered and saved two breakpoints. It is his seventh appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the quarterfinals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be an almost 50-50 matchup, and we agree. Both players are great servers with a weak return. We expect a very tight match that could go either way. They will hold their service games comfortably, so we expect possible tiebreakers.
That being said, over games is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: over 24.5 games @1.83 @bet365
Giron – Popyrin: 11.03.2025 Time TBA
H2H: 1-1
Marcos Giron has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Giron defeated Basilashvili and Ruud en route to the third round. It is his ninth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the third round.
Alexei Popyrin has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, He won the opening-round match against Bergs in straight sets. It is his fifth appearance in Indian Wells. He has never made it past the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, this will be a 50-50 matchup, but we disagree. Giron has already won two matches against solid players in Indian Wells. On the other hand, Popyrin struggled in the opening round against Bergs. Giron will have a packed crowd on his side. We expect him to be a better player and continue his winning streak.
That being said, Giron winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Marcos Giron winning @1.73 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
